Sport Picks

Stadium Background

EC Campo Grande vs Aquidauanense

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

EC Campo Grande host Aquidauanense in the Sul-Matogrossense 2. This has Aquidauanense written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: EC Campo Grande at 0.17 goals for, 1.33 against; Aquidauanense at 1.38 for, 3 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.58 - 1.35) back Aquidauanense to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
EC Campo Grande
11%
Draws
80%
Aquidauanense
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Aquidauanense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • EC Campo Grande haven't matched Aquidauanense's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Aquidauanense taking it.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
EC Campo Grande Clean Sheet 18%
Aquidauanense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Campo Grande Aquidauanense
Matches Played 4 30
Wins 0 11
Draws 1 5
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 0.17 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.33 3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.17 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.33 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Campo Grande 12 / 100
Aquidauanense 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Campo Grande Aquidauanense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AQU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aquidauanense conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: EC Campo Grande scored in 25% of their last 4 outings.

Recent resilience: EC Campo Grande stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Aquidauanense lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

EC Campo Grande VS Aquidauanense
0.17 Goals Scored 1.38
1.33 Goals Conceded 3
67% Over 1.5 100%
17% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Campo Grande

(Home)
12 Jul
EC Campo Grande
0 : 2
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
04 Jul
Uniao ABC
3 : 0
EC Campo Grande
27 Jun
EC Campo Grande
0 : 2
Sao Gabriel MS
21 Jun
7 de Setembro
1 : 1
EC Campo Grande

Aquidauanense

(Away)
11 Jul
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
7 de Setembro
04 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
0 : 1
Aquidauanense
27 Jun
Misto
2 : 0
Aquidauanense
20 Jun
Aquidauanense
1 : 0
Comercial MS
02 Mar
Dourados
5 : 1
Aquidauanense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aquidauanense43014:29
2Uniao ABC42116:27
37 de Setembro52128:67
4Comercial MS42116:47
5Misto42115:47
6Esporte Clube Taveiropolis52034:66
7Sao Gabriel MS41123:54
8EC Campo Grande40131:81
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2027 (Main)