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EC Campo Grande vs Comercial MS

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2
EC Campo Grande Logo

EC Campo Grande

1 - 3
FT
Comercial MS Logo

Comercial MS

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Comercial MS in this Sul-Matogrossense 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Comercial MS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
EC Campo Grande
15%
Draws
85%
Comercial MS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Comercial MS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Comercial MS lately — more wins on the board than EC Campo Grande.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Comercial MS taking it.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
EC Campo Grande Clean Sheet 11%
Comercial MS Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Campo Grande Comercial MS
Matches Played 7 34
Wins 0 12
Draws 1 8
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 0.57 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense 2
EC Campo Grande vs Comercial MS
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Campo Grande 10 / 100
Comercial MS 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Campo Grande Comercial MS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comercial MS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:2
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comercial MS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 34 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

EC Campo Grande scored in 57% of their last 7 games.

Comercial MS lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

EC Campo Grande VS Comercial MS
0.57 Goals Scored 1.13
2.43 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Campo Grande

(Home)
02 Aug
Misto
3 : 1
EC Campo Grande
26 Jul
EC Campo Grande
1 : 3
Aquidauanense
18 Jul
EC Campo Grande
1 : 3
Comercial MS
12 Jul
EC Campo Grande
0 : 2
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
04 Jul
Uniao ABC
3 : 0
EC Campo Grande
Page 1 of 2

Comercial MS

(Away)
02 Aug
Comercial MS
2 : 0
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
25 Jul
Comercial MS
0 : 1
Misto
18 Jul
EC Campo Grande
1 : 3
Comercial MS
11 Jul
Comercial MS
1 : 1
Uniao ABC
06 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 3
Comercial MS
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquidauanense 7 6 0 1 11:4 18
2 Misto 7 4 2 1 9:5 14
3 Comercial MS 7 4 1 2 11:6 13
4 7 de Setembro 7 3 2 2 12:6 11
5 Uniao ABC 7 2 3 2 6:4 9
6 Esporte Clube Taveiropolis 7 2 1 4 6:10 7
7 Sao Gabriel MS 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
8 EC Campo Grande 7 0 1 6 4:17 1
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