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EC Cruzeiro vs Lajeadense

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Gaucho 2 2019
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Gaucho 2 2019 game between EC Cruzeiro and Lajeadense finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
EC Cruzeiro
15%
Draws
28%
Lajeadense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EC Cruzeiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lajeadense come out ahead of EC Cruzeiro on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
EC Cruzeiro Clean Sheet 20%
Lajeadense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Cruzeiro Lajeadense
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.63 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2021 Gaucho 2
Lajeadense vs EC Cruzeiro
4:0
Oct 23, 2021 Gaucho 2
EC Cruzeiro vs Lajeadense
0:2
Apr 7, 2019 Gaucho 2
EC Cruzeiro vs Lajeadense
0:0
Feb 21, 2019 Gaucho 2
Lajeadense vs EC Cruzeiro
0:0
Feb 29, 2016 Gaucho
EC Cruzeiro vs Lajeadense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Cruzeiro 31 / 100
Lajeadense 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Cruzeiro Lajeadense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Cruzeiro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lajeadense let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Lajeadense lost 4 of their last 5 games.

EC Cruzeiro's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lajeadense
0 Goals Scored 0.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Cruzeiro

(Home)
10 Jul
EC Cruzeiro
0 : 2
Passo Fundo
07 Jul
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
1 : 2
EC Cruzeiro
03 Jul
Brasil de Farroupilha
1 : 3
EC Cruzeiro
29 Jun
EC Cruzeiro
0 : 1
Veranopolis
23 Jun
GE Gloria
3 : 0
EC Cruzeiro
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Lajeadense

(Away)
27 Sept
Apafut
2 : 1
Lajeadense
23 Sept
Lajeadense
0 : 1
Veranopolis
19 Sept
Aimore
2 : 0
Lajeadense
16 Sept
Lajeadense
1 : 0
SC Gaucho
13 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
3 : 1
Lajeadense
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Sao Paulo 14 7 4 3 13:10 25
2 EC Guarani 14 6 4 4 18:13 22
3 GE Bage 14 6 4 4 19:17 22
4 Lajeadense 14 4 8 2 12:10 20
5 Sao Gabriel 14 4 6 4 11:12 18
6 Inter Santa Maria 14 5 3 6 14:16 18
7 EC Cruzeiro 14 4 5 5 11:9 17
8 Farroupilha 14 1 4 9 10:21 7
Promotion - Campeonato Gaucho 2 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 14 7 4 3 17:11 25
2 GE Gloria 14 6 5 3 21:14 23
3 Igrejinha 14 5 6 3 14:12 21
4 Ypiranga FC 14 5 5 4 17:16 20
5 Passo Fundo 14 5 4 5 15:14 19
6 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 14 4 3 7 14:16 15
7 Tupi RS 14 4 2 8 13:19 14
8 AE Sao Borja 14 3 5 6 14:23 14
Promotion - Campeonato Gaucho 2 2019 (Play Offs)