Sport Picks

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EC de Patos U20 vs Nacional de Patos U20

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano U20 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

EC de Patos U20 play Nacional de Patos U20 in the Paraibano U20 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, EC de Patos U20 averaged 2 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. Nacional de Patos U20 averaged 3.17 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, EC de Patos U20 won 1, Nacional de Patos U20 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 14, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.98 for EC de Patos U20 and 2.52 for Nacional de Patos U20. This points to a Nacional de Patos U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
EC de Patos U20
25%
Draws
41%
Nacional de Patos U20
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Nacional de Patos U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • EC de Patos U20 picked up more points recently compared to Nacional de Patos U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.98 vs 2.52 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
EC de Patos U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Nacional de Patos U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC de Patos U20 Nacional de Patos U20
Matches Played 19 6
Wins 9 4
Draws 4 1
Losses 6 1
Goals Scored 2 3.17
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 3.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2025 Paraibano U20
Nacional de Patos U20 vs EC de Patos U20
0:1
Jul 10, 2025 Paraibano U20
EC de Patos U20 vs Nacional de Patos U20
2:2
Jun 26, 2025 Paraibano U20
EC de Patos U20 vs Nacional de Patos U20
3:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC de Patos U20 33 / 100
Nacional de Patos U20 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC de Patos U20 Nacional de Patos U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nacional de Patos U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

EC de Patos U20 attacking → ← attacking Nacional de Patos U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC de Patos U20 scored in 79% of their last 19 games.

Nacional de Patos U20 let in goals in 67% of their last 6 matches.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

EC de Patos U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Nacional de Patos U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 13
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 3.17
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.33

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Campinense U20541021:213
2Queimadense U20531118:810
3Treze PB U2052216:58
4Picuiense U2052126:57
5Sao Paulo Crystal U2051043:203
6Sport PB U2050143:171
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Confianca PB U20532014:211
2Botafogo PB U2053207:011
3Auto Esporte U2052217:58
4Miramar EC U2051225:85
5Desportiva Guarabira U2051045:123
6Spartax U2051041:123
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nacional de Patos U20440017:512
2EC de Patos U20421116:67
3Sousa U20421111:37
4Sabugy U2041033:203
5Serrano PB U2040041:140