Sport Picks

Stadium Background

EC Guarani vs Lajeadense

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event

AI Match Summary

EC Guarani in this Gaucho 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored EC Guarani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
EC Guarani
30%
Draws
16%
Lajeadense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: EC Guarani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to EC Guarani lately — more wins on the board than Lajeadense.
  • EC Guarani are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
EC Guarani Clean Sheet 68%
Lajeadense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Guarani Lajeadense
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 15 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.71 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 Gaucho 2
EC Guarani vs Lajeadense
1:0
Jul 1, 2023 Gaucho 2
EC Guarani vs Lajeadense
2:0
Apr 30, 2023 Gaucho 2
Lajeadense vs EC Guarani
0:0
Jun 9, 2022 Gaucho 2
EC Guarani vs Lajeadense
0:1
Apr 16, 2022 Gaucho 2
Lajeadense vs EC Guarani
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Guarani 50 / 100
Lajeadense 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Guarani Lajeadense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Guarani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: EC Guarani scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Lajeadense let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Solid form: EC Guarani remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Lajeadense registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

EC Guarani VS Lajeadense
1.13 Goals Scored 0.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Guarani

(Home)
01 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 0
Lajeadense
26 Aug
GE Bage
1 : 0
EC Guarani
23 Aug
Brasil de Farroupilha
3 : 3
EC Guarani
16 Aug
EC Guarani
1 : 3
SC Gaucho
12 Aug
GE Gloria
1 : 2
EC Guarani
Page 1 of 6

Lajeadense

(Away)
01 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 0
Lajeadense
23 Aug
Lajeadense
0 : 0
GE Gloria
20 Aug
Gramadense
1 : 1
Lajeadense
16 Aug
Lajeadense
0 : 3
Passo Fundo
12 Aug
Brasil de Farroupilha
3 : 1
Lajeadense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Passo Fundo 10 5 4 1 13:5 19
2 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 10 5 3 2 10:5 18
3 Veranopolis 9 5 2 2 10:5 17
4 Apafut 10 4 4 2 13:8 16
5 Aimore 10 4 3 3 9:9 15
6 Brasil de Farroupilha 10 3 6 1 12:9 15
7 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 10 3 6 1 10:7 15
8 Brasil de Pelotas 9 3 5 1 10:7 14
9 Santa Cruz RS 9 3 5 1 7:4 14
10 Pelotas 10 3 5 2 9:10 14
11 GE Bage 9 2 4 3 8:12 10
12 EC Guarani 10 2 4 4 9:14 10
13 SC Gaucho 9 2 2 5 7:8 8
14 Gramadense 10 1 4 5 6:13 7
15 GE Gloria 9 1 3 5 5:10 6
16 Lajeadense 10 0 2 8 3:15 2
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)