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EC Itauna vs Caldense

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2008
EC Itauna Logo

EC Itauna

1 - 0
FT
Caldense Logo

Caldense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

EC Itauna in this Campeonato Mineiro 2 2008 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored EC Itauna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
EC Itauna
15%
Draws
0%
Caldense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EC Itauna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: EC Itauna at 1.28 per game, Caldense at 0.88.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors EC Itauna here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
EC Itauna Clean Sheet 20%
Caldense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Itauna Caldense
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 7 7
Draws 11 14
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.28 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.69 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2009 Mineiro 2
EC Itauna vs Caldense
1:0
Feb 18, 2009 Mineiro 2
Caldense vs EC Itauna
2:2
May 18, 2008 Mineiro 2
EC Itauna vs Caldense
1:0
Feb 27, 2008 Mineiro 2
Caldense vs EC Itauna
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Itauna 31 / 100
Caldense 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Itauna Caldense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Itauna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caldense's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

EC Itauna scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Caldense let in goals in 62% of their last 34 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Caldense
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Itauna

(Home)
20 Mar
EC Itauna
2 : 2
Tombense
16 Mar
Nacional MG
7 : 3
EC Itauna
13 Mar
Formiga EC
3 : 1
EC Itauna
11 Mar
EC Itauna
3 : 1
Tricordiano
05 Mar
Pocos de Caldas
3 : 0
EC Itauna
Page 1 of 7

Caldense

(Away)
12 Jul
Caldense
2 : 3
Uberaba
05 Jul
Boa
3 : 1
Caldense
01 Jul
Caldense
1 : 2
Patrocinense
27 Jun
Guarani-MG
2 : 0
Caldense
23 Jun
Mamore
1 : 0
Caldense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America Mineiro 20 12 5 3 33:14 41
2 Uberlandia 20 10 6 4 25:12 36
3 Caldense 20 11 2 7 29:20 35
4 EC Itauna 20 8 7 5 21:15 31
5 Araxa 20 6 9 5 21:21 27
6 Pocos de Caldas 20 4 11 5 22:24 23
7 URT 20 4 11 5 28:29 23
8 Ideal FC 20 6 4 10 21:29 22
9 Formiga EC 20 6 4 10 17:26 22
10 Valeriodoce 20 4 8 8 18:21 20
11 Uniao Luziense 20 4 3 13 21:45 15
Promotion - Campeonato Mineiro 2009 (Main)