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EC Itauna vs Nacional MG

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2011
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Mineiro 2 2011 game between EC Itauna and Nacional MG finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nacional MG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
EC Itauna
40%
Draws
29%
Nacional MG
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • EC Itauna haven't matched Nacional MG's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Campeonato Mineiro 2 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
EC Itauna Clean Sheet 20%
Nacional MG Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Itauna Nacional MG
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 11
Draws 11 6
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2011 Mineiro 2
Nacional MG vs EC Itauna
7:3
Feb 16, 2011 Mineiro 2
EC Itauna vs Nacional MG
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Itauna 32 / 100
Nacional MG 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Itauna Nacional MG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.50 goals as a typical output.

EC Itauna scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Nacional MG let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Away concern: Nacional MG has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nacional MG
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%