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EC Juventude U20 vs EC Sao Jose (PA) U20

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Gaucho U20 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

EC Juventude U20 play EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 in the Gaucho U20 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, EC Juventude U20 averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, EC Juventude U20 won 2, EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 28, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.33 for EC Juventude U20 and 2.06 for EC Sao Jose (PA) U20. This points to a EC Juventude U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
EC Juventude U20
26%
Draws
35%
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: EC Juventude U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • EC Juventude U20 picked up more points recently compared to EC Sao Jose (PA) U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.33 vs 2.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
EC Juventude U20 Clean Sheet 10%
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Juventude U20 EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.55 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.58 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Gaucho U20
EC Juventude U20 vs EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
2:1
Jun 13, 2026 Gaucho U20
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 vs EC Juventude U20
1:1
May 24, 2026 Gaucho U20
EC Juventude U20 vs EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
2:0
Jun 15, 2025 Gaucho U20
EC Juventude U20 vs EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
0:1
Jun 8, 2025 Gaucho U20
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 vs EC Juventude U20
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC Juventude U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Prado
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Juventude U20 37 / 100
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Juventude U20 EC Sao Jose (PA) U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: EC Juventude U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

EC Juventude U20 attacking → ← attacking EC Sao Jose (PA) U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Juventude U20 scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

EC Juventude U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 45
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.17