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EC Juventude vs Fortaleza

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
09:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

EC Juventude host Fortaleza in the Serie B. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Fortaleza have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while EC Juventude have conceded 0.5 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Fortaleza slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 0.75, favoring Fortaleza. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
EC Juventude
39%
Draws
31%
Fortaleza
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • EC Juventude haven't matched Fortaleza's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Fortaleza have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
EC Juventude Clean Sheet 20%
Fortaleza Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Juventude Fortaleza
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Serie B
Fortaleza vs EC Juventude
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 Serie A Betano
EC Juventude vs Fortaleza
1:2
May 10, 2025 Serie A Betano
Fortaleza vs EC Juventude
5:0
Nov 2, 2024 Serie A Betano
EC Juventude vs Fortaleza
0:3
Jun 30, 2024 Serie A Betano
Fortaleza vs EC Juventude
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Juventude 31 / 100
Fortaleza 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Juventude Fortaleza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JUV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

EC Juventude's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Fortaleza conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

EC Juventude has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

EC Juventude VS Fortaleza
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Juventude

(Home)
28 Jul
EC Juventude
1 : 0
Avai
24 Jul
Botafogo SP
4 : 2
EC Juventude
17 Jul
EC Juventude
2 : 0
Cuiaba
10 Jul
EC Juventude
1 : 0
Vila Nova FC
05 Jul
Nautico
0 : 0
EC Juventude
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Fortaleza

(Away)
22 Jul
Vila Nova FC
2 : 1
Fortaleza
18 Jul
Fortaleza
1 : 0
Novorizontino
12 Jul
Atletico GO
1 : 0
Fortaleza
03 Jul
Fortaleza
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
28 Jun
Fortaleza
2 : 1
Sport Recife
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma20117223:1240
2EC Juventude20105522:1235
3Operario-PR20105528:2535
4Vila Nova FC20104627:2434
5Novorizontino2096532:1933
6Fortaleza1994622:1931
7Atletico GO2087523:2031
8CRB2085731:3229
9Goias2085721:2629
10Sport Recife20611325:1929
11Athletic Club20610419:1828
12Sao Bernardo2076728:2327
13Nautico2074924:2425
14Cuiaba20510515:1525
15Botafogo SP1966724:2024
16Ceara2057820:2522
17Londrina20551027:3120
18Avai20551021:2720
19America MG20251314:3111
20Ponte Preta20231515:399
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)