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EC Juventude vs Nautico - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

EC Juventude host Nautico in the Serie B. This one's hard to separate. Nautico have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while EC Juventude have conceded 0.66 and scored 1.25. Head-to-head, EC Juventude have won 2 to Nautico's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 5, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 0.94) point toward EC Juventude. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
EC Juventude
35%
Draws
20%
Nautico
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: EC Juventude

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • EC Juventude have won more games recently than Nautico.
  • EC Juventude are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
EC Juventude Clean Sheet 20%
Nautico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Juventude Nautico
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 10 10
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.66 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Serie B
Nautico vs EC Juventude
0:0
Nov 29, 2020 Serie B
EC Juventude vs Nautico
1:0
Aug 22, 2020 Serie B
Nautico vs EC Juventude
3:3
Sep 22, 2019 Serie C
Nautico vs EC Juventude
3:1
Sep 15, 2019 Serie C
EC Juventude vs Nautico
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Juventude 85 / 100
Nautico 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Juventude Nautico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Juventude Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: EC Juventude stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

EC Juventude scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Nautico has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

EC Juventude VS Nautico
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Juventude

(Home)
17 Oct
Ceara
2 : 2
EC Juventude
11 Oct
EC Juventude
2 : 2
Sao Bernardo
07 Oct
Ponte Preta
0 : 2
EC Juventude
02 Oct
EC Juventude
3 : 0
Operario-PR
28 Sept
America MG
0 : 1
EC Juventude
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Nautico

(Away)
19 Oct
Goias
0 : 0
Nautico
11 Oct
Nautico
0 : 2
Vila Nova FC
08 Oct
Nautico
0 : 2
Novorizontino
03 Oct
Fortaleza
1 : 1
Nautico
26 Sept
Nautico
3 : 1
Sport Recife
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 34 18 8 8 48:33 62
2 Novorizontino 34 17 10 7 61:30 61
3 EC Juventude 34 17 10 7 41:23 61
4 Fortaleza 34 16 12 6 41:29 60
5 Criciuma 34 17 8 9 35:28 59
6 Atletico GO 34 14 12 8 42:32 54
7 CRB 34 15 7 12 51:48 52
8 Sport Recife 34 13 12 9 45:37 51
9 Goias 34 14 7 13 34:40 49
10 Operario-PR 34 13 9 12 44:46 48
11 Cuiaba 34 11 14 9 32:27 47
12 Sao Bernardo 34 12 10 12 46:37 46
13 Botafogo SP 34 12 8 14 38:38 44
14 Athletic Club 34 10 14 10 40:39 44
15 Nautico 34 11 10 13 39:42 43
16 Ceara 34 11 10 13 37:42 43
17 Avai 34 10 7 17 33:43 37
18 Londrina 34 8 8 18 43:49 32
19 America MG 34 5 5 24 22:54 20
20 Ponte Preta 34 3 5 26 19:74 14
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)