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EC Juventude vs Novorizontino Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Copa Sul-Sudeste Estadio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul
EC Juventude Logo

EC Juventude

0 - 2
FT
Novorizontino Logo

Novorizontino

Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Gabriel Pinheiro
23'
Luan Martins
27'
Sub
Carlao In: Hector Bianchi
Out: Carlao
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
EC Juventude
30%
Draws
37%
Novorizontino
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Novorizontino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • EC Juventude have managed 1.14 goals a game lately — Novorizontino are scoring more at 1.72.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Novorizontino, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
EC Juventude Clean Sheet 16%
Novorizontino Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Juventude Novorizontino
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.14 1.72
Goals Conceded 0.64 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Serie B
Novorizontino vs EC Juventude
0:1
Mar 31, 2026 Serie B
EC Juventude vs Novorizontino
0:0
Mar 29, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
EC Juventude vs Novorizontino
0:2
Aug 3, 2023 Serie B
EC Juventude vs Novorizontino
1:0
Apr 22, 2023 Serie B
Novorizontino vs EC Juventude
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC Juventude Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Novorizontino Compare

Top Goalscorer Renato Palm
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diego Galo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Juventude 31 / 100
Novorizontino 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Juventude Novorizontino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novorizontino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Juventude scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Novorizontino conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

EC Juventude went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

EC Juventude VS Novorizontino
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Juventude

(Home)
28 Sept
America MG
0 : 1
EC Juventude
19 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 1
EC Juventude
13 Sept
EC Juventude
0 : 2
Athletic Club
09 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2
EC Juventude
05 Sept
EC Juventude
2 : 2
Atletico GO
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Novorizontino

(Away)
02 Oct
Novorizontino
3 : 0
Goias
25 Sept
Novorizontino
0 : 0
Sao Bernardo
18 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1
Novorizontino
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1
Cuiaba
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Novorizontino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chapecoense-SC 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
2 Novorizontino 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 SER Caxias do Sul 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
4 Cianorte 6 2 2 2 9:10 8
5 Tombense 6 1 2 3 11:13 5
6 Sampaio Correa FE 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avai 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
2 Volta Redonda 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 Operario-PR 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
4 America MG 6 2 2 2 11:11 8
5 EC Juventude 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
6 Sao Bernardo 6 0 3 3 6:9 3
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)