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EC Juventude vs Sao Bernardo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

EC Juventude host Sao Bernardo in the Serie B. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: EC Juventude at 1.2 goals for, 0.6 against; Sao Bernardo at 1.47 for, 1.03 against. Head-to-head, EC Juventude have won 1 to Sao Bernardo's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.00, favoring EC Juventude. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
EC Juventude
15%
Draws
45%
Sao Bernardo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Bernardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • EC Juventude carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
EC Juventude Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Bernardo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Juventude Sao Bernardo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 8 10
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.2 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.6 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Serie B
Sao Bernardo vs EC Juventude
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Juventude 32 / 100
Sao Bernardo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Juventude Sao Bernardo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Bernardo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Juventude scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Sao Bernardo let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: EC Juventude stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

EC Juventude VS Sao Bernardo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Juventude

(Home)
02 Oct
EC Juventude
3 : 0
Operario-PR
28 Sept
America MG
0 : 1
EC Juventude
19 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 1
EC Juventude
13 Sept
EC Juventude
0 : 2
Athletic Club
09 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2
EC Juventude
Page 1 of 6

Sao Bernardo

(Away)
02 Oct
Sao Bernardo
3 : 1
CRB
25 Sept
Novorizontino
0 : 0
Sao Bernardo
19 Sept
Sao Bernardo
1 : 0
Atletico GO
14 Sept
America MG
0 : 2
Sao Bernardo
10 Sept
Sao Bernardo
1 : 2
Londrina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 31 17 6 8 44:31 57
2 EC Juventude 31 16 8 7 35:19 56
3 Novorizontino 31 15 9 7 52:27 54
4 Criciuma 31 15 8 8 33:27 53
5 Fortaleza 31 14 11 6 36:27 53
6 Atletico GO 31 14 10 7 39:27 52
7 CRB 31 14 6 11 46:44 48
8 Operario-PR 31 13 9 9 43:41 48
9 Sport Recife 31 12 11 8 42:33 47
10 Cuiaba 31 11 13 7 32:25 46
11 Sao Bernardo 31 12 9 10 43:32 45
12 Goias 31 12 6 13 30:39 42
13 Nautico 31 11 9 11 39:38 42
14 Athletic Club 31 10 12 9 37:35 42
15 Ceara 31 10 9 12 34:39 39
16 Botafogo SP 31 9 8 14 34:37 35
17 Avai 31 8 6 17 30:42 30
18 Londrina 31 7 7 17 39:45 28
19 America MG 31 4 5 22 21:52 17
20 Ponte Preta 31 3 4 24 17:66 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)