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EC Juventude W vs Bahia W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Estadio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Carol Ladaga
22'
Silva S.
23' Event
Paloma Lemos

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro Women game between EC Juventude W and Bahia W finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
EC Juventude W
30%
Draws
51%
Bahia W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bahia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bahia W come out ahead of EC Juventude W on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Bahia W taking it.
  • Regular Brasileiro Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
EC Juventude W Clean Sheet 19%
Bahia W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Juventude W Bahia W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 16
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 0.93 2.34
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Brasileiro Women
EC Juventude W vs Bahia W
2:2
Jun 18, 2025 Brasileiro Women
Bahia W vs EC Juventude W
2:2
Jun 8, 2024 Brasileiro A2 Women
Bahia W vs EC Juventude W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC Juventude W Compare

Top Goalscorer Paloma Lemos
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kamile Loirao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

Bahia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Raquel
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Juventude W 10 / 100
Bahia W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Juventude W Bahia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Bahia W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

EC Juventude W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

EC Juventude W found the back of the net in 39% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

EC Juventude W VS Bahia W
0.57 Goals Scored 1.75
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.88
43% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Juventude W

(Home)
27 Sept
Flamengo Tenente Portela W
0 : 2
EC Juventude W
20 Sept
EC Juventude W
0 : 0
Internacional W
22 Aug
EC Juventude W
2 : 2
Bahia W
16 Aug
Palmeiras W
3 : 0
EC Juventude W
09 Aug
EC Juventude W
0 : 1
Mixto W
Page 1 of 6

Bahia W

(Away)
10 Oct
Bahia W
5 : 0
Jacuipense W
07 Oct
Bahia W
2 : 2
Jacobina W
03 Oct
Barcelona FC W
1 : 11
Bahia W
30 Sept
Bahia W
3 : 0
Porto-BA W
24 Sept
Bahia W
7 : 2
Botafogo BA W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo W 17 13 2 2 31:11 41
2 Corinthians W 17 12 2 3 42:18 38
3 Palmeiras W 17 10 6 1 32:11 36
4 Ferroviaria W 17 8 7 2 23:14 31
5 CR Flamengo W 17 8 6 3 29:20 30
6 Bahia W 17 8 5 4 30:21 29
7 Cruzeiro W 17 7 7 3 30:19 28
8 Gremio W 17 8 3 6 23:16 27
9 Internacional W 17 8 3 6 21:17 27
10 Bragantino W 17 8 2 7 30:26 26
11 Fluminense W 17 7 5 5 23:19 26
12 Santos W 17 6 5 6 22:23 23
13 Atletico-MG W 17 4 4 9 17:25 16
14 Mixto W 17 2 6 9 10:27 12
15 EC Juventude W 17 2 5 10 9:22 11
16 America Mineiro W 17 1 4 12 9:34 7
17 Vitoria W 17 1 4 12 15:45 7
18 Botafogo RJ W 17 1 2 14 10:38 5
Promotion - Brasileiro Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A2 Women 2027 (Main)