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EC Novo Horizonte vs Cruz Alta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 3
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

EC Novo Horizonte host Cruz Alta in the Gaucho 3. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Cruz Alta have shipped 1.79 goals a game lately, while EC Novo Horizonte have conceded 2.67 and scored 0.33. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (0.56 xG vs 2.08) point toward Cruz Alta. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
EC Novo Horizonte
15%
Draws
59%
Cruz Alta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cruz Alta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Cruz Alta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cruz Alta's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Gaucho 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.8%
EC Novo Horizonte Clean Sheet 10%
Cruz Alta Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Novo Horizonte Cruz Alta
Matches Played 12 24
Wins 1 7
Draws 2 2
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 0.33 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 2.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Novo Horizonte 18 / 100
Cruz Alta 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Novo Horizonte Cruz Alta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cruz Alta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cruz Alta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 24 matches.

Attacking prowess: EC Novo Horizonte scored in 25% of their last 12 outings.

EC Novo Horizonte has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Cruz Alta's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

EC Novo Horizonte VS Cruz Alta
0.13 Goals Scored 1.29
2.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Novo Horizonte

(Home)
30 Sept
EC Novo Horizonte
0 : 2
Clube 1992
19 Sept
SC Rio Grande
1 : 2
EC Novo Horizonte
13 Sept
EC Novo Horizonte
1 : 3
Panambi
05 Sept
Riograndense
3 : 0
EC Novo Horizonte
16 Nov
EC Novo Horizonte
0 : 3
EC Guarani
Page 1 of 3

Cruz Alta

(Away)
03 Oct
Cruz Alta
0 : 0
Futvida
30 Sept
Cruz Alta
4 : 0
SC Rio Grande
26 Sept
Farroupilha
2 : 1
Cruz Alta
20 Sept
Cruz Alta
0 : 3
Real SC
13 Sept
Cruz Alta
2 : 1
Clube 1992
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panambi 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
2 Real SC 4 3 1 0 11:1 10
3 Cruz Alta 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
4 Futvida 6 2 4 0 6:3 10
5 SC Sao Paulo 5 3 0 2 8:5 9
6 Riograndense 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
7 Farroupilha 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
8 Clube 1992 5 1 0 4 6:8 3
9 EC Novo Horizonte 4 1 0 3 3:9 3
10 SC Rio Grande 5 0 0 5 2:14 0
Promotion - Gaucho 3 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Gaucho 3 (Play Offs)