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EC Resende W vs Perolas Negras W

Brazil Brazil

Carioca Women 2025
EC Resende W Logo

EC Resende W

Sat, Oct 18, 2025
0 - 3
06:00 PM
Perolas Negras W Logo

Perolas Negras W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

EC Resende W host Perolas Negras W in the Carioca Women 2025. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. EC Resende W have averaged 1 scored and 7.25 conceded recently, against Perolas Negras W's 1.48 scored and 1.48 conceded. Past meetings favor Perolas Negras W slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 18, 2025, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.29 xG vs 2.38) point toward Perolas Negras W. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
EC Resende W
30%
Draws
35%
Perolas Negras W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • EC Resende W haven't matched Perolas Negras W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Perolas Negras W a 35% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
EC Resende W Clean Sheet 10%
Perolas Negras W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Resende W Perolas Negras W
Matches Played 12 29
Wins 3 10
Draws 1 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1 1.48
Goals Conceded 7.25 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Carioca Women
EC Resende W vs Perolas Negras W
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Resende W 10 / 100
Perolas Negras W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Resende W Perolas Negras W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perolas Negras W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perolas Negras W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

EC Resende W scored in 25% of their last 12 games.

Solid form: EC Resende W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

EC Resende W VS Perolas Negras W
0 Goals Scored 1.75
3 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Resende W

(Home)
25 Oct
Heips W
3 : 0
EC Resende W
18 Oct
EC Resende W
0 : 3
Perolas Negras W
11 Oct
Buzios W
1 : 8
EC Resende W
08 Oct
Fluminense W
15 : 0
EC Resende W
04 Oct
CR Flamengo W
20 : 0
EC Resende W
Page 1 of 3

Perolas Negras W

(Away)
08 Aug
Perolas Negras W
2 : 3
3B da Amazonia W
02 Aug
Atletico-PI W
1 : 0
Perolas Negras W
25 Jul
Acao W
0 : 0
Perolas Negras W
30 May
Perolas Negras W
2 : 2
Itacoatiara W
22 May
Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W
1 : 1
Perolas Negras W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CR Flamengo W 7 6 1 0 57:3 19
2 Fluminense W 7 5 1 1 40:4 16
3 Botafogo RJ W 7 4 2 1 55:5 14
4 Vasco W 7 4 1 2 37:10 13
5 Perolas Negras W 7 3 1 3 17:11 10
6 Heips W 7 2 0 5 11:34 6
7 EC Resende W 7 1 0 6 8:78 3
8 Buzios W 7 0 0 7 1:81 0
Promotion - Carioca Women 2025 (Play Offs)