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EC Sao Bernardo U20 vs Novorizontino U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
EC Sao Bernardo U20 Logo

EC Sao Bernardo U20

0 - 1
FT
Novorizontino U20 Logo

Novorizontino U20

Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Jhones
90' Event
Luduena Coronel M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Novorizontino U20 in this Paulista U20 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Novorizontino U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
EC Sao Bernardo U20
35%
Draws
41%
Novorizontino U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Novorizontino U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Novorizontino U20 have won more games recently than EC Sao Bernardo U20.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
EC Sao Bernardo U20 Clean Sheet 17%
Novorizontino U20 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Sao Bernardo U20 Novorizontino U20
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.4 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Paulista U20
EC Sao Bernardo U20 vs Novorizontino U20
0:1
May 2, 2025 Paulista U20
Novorizontino U20 vs EC Sao Bernardo U20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC Sao Bernardo U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Novorizontino U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Luduena Coronel M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Sao Bernardo U20 31 / 100
Novorizontino U20 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Sao Bernardo U20 Novorizontino U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Sao Bernardo U20 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Novorizontino U20 has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

EC Sao Bernardo U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

EC Sao Bernardo U20 VS Novorizontino U20
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Sao Bernardo U20

(Home)
25 Sept
Sao Paulo U20
2 : 0
EC Sao Bernardo U20
21 Sept
EC Sao Bernardo U20
0 : 0
Sao Paulo U20
12 Sept
Botafogo SP U20
1 : 1
EC Sao Bernardo U20
04 Sept
EC Sao Bernardo U20
4 : 1
CA Bandeirante U20
21 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo U20
0 : 0
Velo Clube U20
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Novorizontino U20

(Away)
27 Sept
Novorizontino U20
1 : 1
Portuguesa Santista U20
19 Sept
Portuguesa Santista U20
2 : 1
Novorizontino U20
12 Sept
Novorizontino U20
1 : 0
Aguai U20
04 Sept
Paulinense U20
1 : 4
Novorizontino U20
22 Aug
Novorizontino U20
2 : 1
Osasco Sporting U20
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)