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EC Sao Bernardo U20 vs Sao Paulo U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

EC Sao Bernardo U20 play Sao Paulo U20 in the Paulista U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, EC Sao Bernardo U20 averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. Sao Paulo U20 averaged 1.96 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. In past meetings, EC Sao Bernardo U20 won 0, Sao Paulo U20 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 14, 2022 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.02 for EC Sao Bernardo U20 and 1.35 for Sao Paulo U20. This points to a Sao Paulo U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
EC Sao Bernardo U20
19%
Draws
46%
Sao Paulo U20
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Sao Paulo U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • EC Sao Bernardo U20 picked up more points recently compared to Sao Paulo U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.02 vs 1.35 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
EC Sao Bernardo U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Sao Paulo U20 Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Sao Bernardo U20 Sao Paulo U20
Matches Played 29 56
Wins 14 33
Draws 4 14
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.52 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.20 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2022 Copinha
Sao Paulo U20 vs EC Sao Bernardo U20
3:0
Jan 11, 2020 Copinha
EC Sao Bernardo U20 vs Sao Paulo U20
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Sao Bernardo U20 35 / 100
Sao Paulo U20 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Sao Bernardo U20 Sao Paulo U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sao Paulo U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

EC Sao Bernardo U20 attacking → ← attacking Sao Paulo U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Sao Bernardo U20 scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Sao Paulo U20 let in goals in 55% of their last 56 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

EC Sao Bernardo U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sao Paulo U20 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 113
0.80 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.20 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ferroviaria U2043108:110
2Corinthians U2043104:010
3CA Juventus U20430112:49
4Santos U2042204:08
5Portuguesa U2042117:47
6Ponte Preta U2042115:47
7Jabaquara U2042023:36
8Portuguesa Santista U2042028:106
9Sao Bento U2041124:44
10Uniao Suzano U2041124:74
11Sertaozinho U2041121:44
12Itapirense U2041035:93
13Mirassol U2040133:81
14America SP U2040040:100
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ibrachina U20440014:212
2Osasco Sporting U2044009:512
3Desportivo U2054016:312
4Sao Paulo U2043107:010
5Uniao Sao Joao U2051314:36
6Novorizontino U2051227:65
7Paulinense U2051225:75
8EC Sao Bernardo U2041214:65
9Aguai U2051225:105
10Santo Andre U2051136:74
11Bandeirante U2051133:84
12Piracicaba U2050414:64
13Sao Caetano U2051045:103
14Botafogo SP U2040314:53
15Velo Clube U2050322:73
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Palmeiras U2044009:012
2Bragantino U20440012:412
3Guarani U2043017:49
4Agua Santa U20522110:68
5Gremio Prudente U2042115:57
6XV de Jau U2052124:67
7Sfera U2052039:66
8Flamengo SP U2052035:76
9Ituano U2041306:56
10Capivariano U2051315:66
11Tanabi U2051227:85
12Osasco Audax U2051223:55
13Maua FC U2051223:95
14Referencia U2050144:111
15Porto Football U2050140:71