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EC Sao Bernardo vs Olimpia FC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 2020
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AI Match Summary

The Paulista A3 2020 game between EC Sao Bernardo and Olimpia FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward EC Sao Bernardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
EC Sao Bernardo
6%
Draws
4%
Olimpia FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: EC Sao Bernardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and EC Sao Bernardo come out ahead of Olimpia FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives EC Sao Bernardo a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista A3 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and EC Sao Bernardo have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
EC Sao Bernardo Clean Sheet 20%
Olimpia FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Sao Bernardo Olimpia FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 2
Draws 11 8
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 5
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 5.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2022 Paulista A3
EC Sao Bernardo vs Olimpia FC
1:0
Feb 8, 2020 Paulista A3
EC Sao Bernardo vs Olimpia FC
1:0
Mar 21, 2019 Paulista A3
Olimpia FC vs EC Sao Bernardo
2:1
Jan 17, 2018 Paulista A3
EC Sao Bernardo vs Olimpia FC
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Sao Bernardo 85 / 100
Olimpia FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Sao Bernardo Olimpia FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpia FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Olimpia FC lost 5 of their last 5 games.

EC Sao Bernardo scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Scoring Trends

EC Sao Bernardo VS Olimpia FC
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 5
75% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Noroeste15112225:935
2EC Sao Bernardo1593322:930
3Comercial1584325:1628
4Capivariano1574421:1525
5Velo Clube1574418:1225
6Linense1565421:1923
7Batatais1557313:1422
8Nacional SP1556417:1621
9Desportivo1553720:2018
10Marilia1546516:1518
11Rio Preto EC1544715:1916
12Olimpia FC1544717:2316
13Primavera EC1543813:2015
14Barretos EC1534815:2613
15GE Osasco1533912:2312
16Paulista15321012:2611