Sport Picks
EC Sao Bernardo vs Sao Jose EC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa Paulista 
Match Events
12'
12'
Mauricio
13'
13'
Neto F.
29'
29'
Joao Guilherme
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
30%
42%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sao Jose EC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sao Jose EC come out ahead of EC Sao Bernardo on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Sao Jose EC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Sao Jose EC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Sao Jose EC have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
EC Sao Bernardo Clean Sheet 15%
Sao Jose EC Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | EC Sao Bernardo | Sao Jose EC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 0.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Copa Paulista
EC Sao Bernardo vs Sao Jose EC
2:3
Jul 25, 2026 Copa Paulista
Sao Jose EC vs EC Sao Bernardo
2:1
Aug 26, 2023 Copa Paulista
Sao Jose EC vs EC Sao Bernardo
1:0
Jul 22, 2023 Copa Paulista
EC Sao Bernardo vs Sao Jose EC
2:3
Jan 28, 2023 Paulista A3
Sao Jose EC vs EC Sao Bernardo
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
EC Sao Bernardo Compare
Top Goalscorer Joao Guilherme
1 Goals Assists Leader Brendo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Sao Jose EC Compare
Top Goalscorer Mauricio
1 Goals Assists Leader Neto F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
EC Sao Bernardo 31 / 100
Sao Jose EC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
EC Sao Bernardo Sao Jose EC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
EC Sao Bernardo's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Sao Jose EC has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: EC Sao Bernardo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
EC Sao Bernardo VS Sao Jose EC
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
EC Sao Bernardo
(Home) 05 Sept
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 1 Comercial
31 Aug
Comercial
2 : 0 EC Sao Bernardo
22 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0 EC Sao Bernardo
15 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 3 Sao Jose EC
09 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 0 Sao Caetano
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05 Sept
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 1 Comercial
15 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 3 Sao Jose EC
09 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 0 Sao Caetano
19 Jul
EC Sao Bernardo
3 : 1 Santo Andre
28 Mar
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 0 Marilia
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Sao Jose EC
(Away) 03 Oct
Sao Jose EC
1 : 0 Noroeste
27 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 1 Sao Jose EC
19 Sept
Sao Jose EC
3 : 0 Comercial
13 Sept
Comercial
0 : 0 Sao Jose EC
22 Aug
Sao Jose EC
0 : 0 Sao Caetano
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27 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 1 Sao Jose EC
13 Sept
Comercial
0 : 0 Sao Jose EC
15 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 3 Sao Jose EC
02 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0 Sao Jose EC
20 Jul
Sao Caetano
1 : 2 Sao Jose EC
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linense | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 14 |
| 2 | Bandeirante | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Gremio Prudente | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Marilia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noroeste | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 2 | Uniao Sao Joao | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Comercial | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Piracicaba | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:6 | 6 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus-SP | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Primavera EC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Paulista | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 4 | Osasco Sporting | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Jose EC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 2 | EC Sao Bernardo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12:8 | 9 |
| 3 | Sao Caetano | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | 2 |
| 4 | Santo Andre | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
