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Stadium Background

EC Sao Jose (PA) vs Avenida

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2025 Francisco Novelletto Neto, Porto Alegre
EC Sao Jose (PA) Logo

EC Sao Jose (PA)

1 - 0
FT
Avenida Logo

Avenida

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Rene
46'
Sub
Kevlin In: Gorgoroso Y.
Out: Kevlin
64'
Douglas Oliveira
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

EC Sao Jose (PA) in this Gaucho 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored EC Sao Jose (PA).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
EC Sao Jose (PA)
35%
Draws
45%
Avenida
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Avenida

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to EC Sao Jose (PA) lately — more wins on the board than Avenida.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
EC Sao Jose (PA) Clean Sheet 23%
Avenida Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Sao Jose (PA) Avenida
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 12 14
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.88 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2025 Gaucho
EC Sao Jose (PA) vs Avenida
1:0
Mar 2, 2025 Gaucho
Avenida vs EC Sao Jose (PA)
3:2
Mar 2, 2024 Gaucho
Avenida vs EC Sao Jose (PA)
0:0
Mar 4, 2023 Gaucho
EC Sao Jose (PA) vs Avenida
2:2
Mar 17, 2019 Gaucho
Avenida vs EC Sao Jose (PA)
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC Sao Jose (PA) Compare

Top Goalscorer Rene
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Avenida Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Sao Jose (PA) 33 / 100
Avenida 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Sao Jose (PA) Avenida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avenida Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Sao Jose (PA)'s goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Avenida's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: EC Sao Jose (PA) remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

EC Sao Jose (PA) VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Sao Jose (PA)

(Home)
02 Sept
Goiatuba EC
1 : 1
EC Sao Jose (PA)
26 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
0 : 0
Goiatuba EC
16 Aug
Gama
4 : 0
EC Sao Jose (PA)
08 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 1
Gama
26 Jul
Treze PB
1 : 1
EC Sao Jose (PA)
Page 1 of 7

Avenida

(Away)
07 Mar
Avenida
0 : 0
Inter Santa Maria
28 Feb
Guarany de Bage
1 : 1
Avenida
23 Feb
Monsoon
1 : 1
Avenida
14 Feb
Avenida
1 : 1
Monsoon
09 Feb
Avenida
2 : 1
Guarany de Bage
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avenida 6 3 2 1 11:7 11
2 EC Sao Jose (PA) 6 3 1 2 11:10 10
3 Pelotas 6 1 3 2 7:10 6
4 Brasil de Pelotas 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
Relegation - Gaucho 2 (Main)