Sport Picks

Stadium Background

EC Sao Jose (PA) vs Portuguesa RJ

Brazil Brazil

Serie D Francisco Novelletto Neto, Porto Alegre
EC Sao Jose (PA) Logo

EC Sao Jose (PA)

1 - 0
FT
Portuguesa RJ Logo

Portuguesa RJ

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Fabio Rampi
90'
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

EC Sao Jose (PA) in this Serie D tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
EC Sao Jose (PA)
17%
Draws
13%
Portuguesa RJ
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: EC Sao Jose (PA)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Portuguesa RJ have won more games recently than EC Sao Jose (PA).
  • EC Sao Jose (PA) are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Portuguesa RJ arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Portuguesa RJ, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
EC Sao Jose (PA) Clean Sheet 68%
Portuguesa RJ Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Sao Jose (PA) Portuguesa RJ
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 10 10
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Serie D
Portuguesa RJ vs EC Sao Jose (PA)
0:0
Jul 4, 2026 Serie D
EC Sao Jose (PA) vs Portuguesa RJ
1:0
Jul 3, 2016 Serie D
Portuguesa RJ vs EC Sao Jose (PA)
0:2
Jun 25, 2016 Serie D
EC Sao Jose (PA) vs Portuguesa RJ
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC Sao Jose (PA) Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabio Rampi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Portuguesa RJ Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Sao Jose (PA) 77 / 100
Portuguesa RJ 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Sao Jose (PA) Portuguesa RJ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: EC Sao Jose (PA) stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: EC Sao Jose (PA) scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Portuguesa RJ has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

EC Sao Jose (PA) VS Portuguesa RJ
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Sao Jose (PA)

(Home)
26 Jul
Treze PB
1 : 1
EC Sao Jose (PA)
18 Jul
EC Sao Jose (PA)
2 : 1
Treze PB
12 Jul
Portuguesa RJ
0 : 0
EC Sao Jose (PA)
04 Jul
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 0
Portuguesa RJ
27 Jun
Santa Catarina
1 : 2
EC Sao Jose (PA)
Page 1 of 6

Portuguesa RJ

(Away)
23 Jul
Portuguesa RJ
1 : 0
Americano
15 Jul
Americano
1 : 1
Portuguesa RJ
12 Jul
Portuguesa RJ
0 : 0
EC Sao Jose (PA)
04 Jul
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 0
Portuguesa RJ
28 Jun
Noroeste
1 : 3
Portuguesa RJ
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube1
Manauara3
Brasiliense0
Goiatuba EC1
Imperatriz2
Maracana1
Central SC1
Ferroviario3
America RJ1
Piracicaba3
Sao Joseense1
Cianorte2
ASA2
Sergipe1
Ivinhema4
Democrata GV2
Portuguesa RJ4
Noroeste2
EC Sao Jose (PA)3
Santa Catarina2
Jacuipense1
Treze PB3
CRAC1
Tombense0
Fluminense-PI0
America RN4
Sampaio Correa2
Trem3
Sao Raimundo RR2
Porto Velho3
Mixto1
Gama3
Araguaina0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)1
Aparecidense1
Capital5
Tuna Luso2
Iguatu3
Maguary2
Piaui1
Monte Roraima3
Guapore4
Ceilandia2
Luverdense3
Parnahyba2
Aguia De Maraba3
AE Altos1
ABC2
Serra Branca3
Juazeirense0
Rio Branco ES2
Uberlandia4
Sampaio Correa FE1
Portuguesa2
FC Cascavel3
Marcilio Dias4
Sao Luiz3
Blumenau2
Velo Clube2
Agua Santa1
Lagarto1
CSA3
Vitoria ES1
Betim FC2
1/16-finals
Manauara2
Goiatuba EC3
Imperatriz1
Ferroviario4
Piracicaba0
Cianorte4
ASA6
Ivinhema1
Portuguesa RJ0
EC Sao Jose (PA)1
Treze PB3
CRAC2
America RN6
Trem2
Porto Velho2
Gama3
Nacional-AM (Manaus)2
Capital1
Iguatu5
Maguary3
Guapore0
Luverdense1
Aguia De Maraba2
ABC4
Serra Branca2
Uberlandia3
Portuguesa3
Marcilio Dias1
Sao Luiz4
Velo Clube3
CSA4
Betim FC1
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC5
Ferroviario1
Cianorte1
ASA6
EC Sao Jose (PA)3
Treze PB2
America RN3
Gama4
Nacional-AM (Manaus)3
Iguatu2
Luverdense1
ABC4
Uberlandia2
Portuguesa1
Sao Luiz1
CSA2
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC-
ASA-
EC Sao Jose (PA)-
Gama-
Nacional-AM (Manaus)-
ABC-
Uberlandia-
CSA-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-