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EC Vera Cruz vs Santa Cruz RJ

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C 2025
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Match Events

76' Event
Vitinho
88' Event
Teixeira G.

AI Match Summary

The Carioca C 2025 game between EC Vera Cruz and Santa Cruz RJ finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
EC Vera Cruz
40%
Draws
29%
Santa Cruz RJ
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santa Cruz RJ come out ahead of EC Vera Cruz on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
EC Vera Cruz Clean Sheet 10%
Santa Cruz RJ Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Vera Cruz Santa Cruz RJ
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 19
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2025 Carioca C
EC Vera Cruz vs Santa Cruz RJ
1:1
Jun 16, 2024 Carioca C
EC Vera Cruz vs Santa Cruz RJ
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC Vera Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Teixeira G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Santa Cruz RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Vera Cruz 30 / 100
Santa Cruz RJ 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Vera Cruz Santa Cruz RJ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Vera Cruz found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Santa Cruz RJ conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Santa Cruz RJ lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

EC Vera Cruz VS Santa Cruz RJ
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Vera Cruz

(Home)
12 Jul
Mageense
:
EC Vera Cruz
06 Jul
EC Vera Cruz
:
Mageense
03 Jul
Uni Souza
5 : 1
EC Vera Cruz
28 Jun
EC Vera Cruz
1 : 2
Caac Brazil
07 Jun
Uniao Central
3 : 2
EC Vera Cruz
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Santa Cruz RJ

(Away)
23 Jun
Perolas Negras
5 : 1
Santa Cruz RJ
17 Jun
Santa Cruz RJ
0 : 5
Perolas Negras
23 Nov
Santa Cruz RJ
2 : 2
Macae
16 Nov
Macae
2 : 0
Santa Cruz RJ
06 Nov
Paraty
0 : 1
Santa Cruz RJ
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Paraty1291233:1128
2Santa Cruz RJ1283139:1427
3Riostrense1282229:1126
4Uniao Central1273234:1824
5Juventus RJ1273224:924
6EC Vera Cruz1262418:1120
7Angra dos Reis1261524:2119
8Rio Barra1140712:2412
9Buzios1240816:3312
10Duque Caxiense1231815:1910
11Caac Brazil1230910:359
12Mesquita122198:287
13Barcelona EC111195:334
Promotion - Carioca C 2025 (Play Offs)