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Stadium Background

EC Ypiranga vs Botafogo BA

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Baiano 2 2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
EC Ypiranga
30%
Draws
34%
Botafogo BA
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: EC Ypiranga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Botafogo BA have won more games recently than EC Ypiranga.
  • EC Ypiranga are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
EC Ypiranga Clean Sheet 20%
Botafogo BA Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Ypiranga Botafogo BA
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2015 Baiano 2
EC Ypiranga vs Botafogo BA
1:1
May 26, 2012 Baiano 2
Botafogo BA vs EC Ypiranga
1:4
Apr 28, 2012 Baiano 2
EC Ypiranga vs Botafogo BA
0:1
May 28, 2011 Baiano 2
Botafogo BA vs EC Ypiranga
1:3
Apr 10, 2011 Baiano 2
EC Ypiranga vs Botafogo BA
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Ypiranga 36 / 100
Botafogo BA 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Ypiranga Botafogo BA

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo BA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: EC Ypiranga remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

EC Ypiranga found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

EC Ypiranga VS Botafogo BA
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fluminense de Feira851215:1016
2CE Flamengo843113:615
3Juazeiro842213:1314
4Itabuna833213:1012
5EC Ypiranga833210:712
6Grapiuna831411:910
7Botafogo BA82249:138
8Alagoinhas81345:106
9Jequie812510:215