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Ecuador U17 vs Argentina U17

South America South America

South American Championship U17 Estadio Carfem, Ypané
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Salinas F.
Assist: Escobar S.
53'
Sub
Guerrero J. In: Quintero E.
Out: Guerrero J.
55'
Salinas F.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ecuador U17
20%
Draws
40%
Argentina U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Argentina U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ecuador U17 a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Argentina U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Argentina U17, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ecuador U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Argentina U17 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ecuador U17 Argentina U17
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 19
Draws 6 2
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.5 2.33
Goals Conceded 1 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 South American Championship U17
Ecuador U17 vs Argentina U17
1:3
Apr 21, 2023 South American Championship U17
Argentina U17 vs Ecuador U17
0:1
Oct 26, 2022 Friendly International
Argentina U17 vs Ecuador U17
1:3
Apr 15, 2019 South American Championship U17
Ecuador U17 vs Argentina U17
4:1
Mar 29, 2015 South American Championship U17
Ecuador U17 vs Argentina U17
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ecuador U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Argentina U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Salinas F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Policella J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ecuador U17 38 / 100
Argentina U17 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ecuador U17 Argentina U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ecuador U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ecuador U17 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Argentina U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Ecuador U17 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ecuador U17 VS Argentina U17
1.13 Goals Scored 3.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ecuador U17

(Home)
19 Apr
Ecuador U17
0 : 1
Brazil U17
16 Apr
Ecuador U17
1 : 3
Argentina U17
12 Apr
Chile U17
1 : 3
Ecuador U17
07 Apr
Ecuador U17
2 : 1
Uruguay U17
05 Apr
Ecuador U17
0 : 0
Colombia U17
Page 1 of 6

Argentina U17

(Away)
19 Apr
Argentina U17
0 : 4
Colombia U17
16 Apr
Ecuador U17
1 : 3
Argentina U17
12 Apr
Argentina U17
1 : 1
Bolivia U17
10 Apr
Argentina U17
0 : 3
Brazil U17
08 Apr
Venezuela U17
2 : 3
Argentina U17
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Ecuador U17 1
Argentina U17 3
Brazil U17 0
Colombia U17 3
Final
Argentina U17 0
Colombia U17 4
Ecuador U17 0
Brazil U17 1