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Ecuador U17 vs Uruguay U17 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

South American Championship U17 Estadio Carfem, Ypané
Ecuador U17 Logo

Ecuador U17

2 - 1
FT
Uruguay U17 Logo

Uruguay U17

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Chica J.
Assist: Zamora B.
20'
Quintero H.
28' Event
Scotti N.
Assist: Brizuela T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ecuador U17 in this South American Championship U17 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ecuador U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ecuador U17
20%
Draws
40%
Uruguay U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ecuador U17 lately — more wins on the board than Uruguay U17.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ecuador U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Uruguay U17 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ecuador U17 Uruguay U17
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.23
Goals Conceded 1 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2026 South American Championship U17
Ecuador U17 vs Uruguay U17
2:1
Mar 10, 2026 Friendly International
Uruguay U17 vs Ecuador U17
1:0
Mar 7, 2026 Friendly International
Uruguay U17 vs Ecuador U17
0:1
Mar 31, 2025 South American Championship U17
Uruguay U17 vs Ecuador U17
0:4
Apr 6, 2023 South American Championship U17
Uruguay U17 vs Ecuador U17
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ecuador U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Chica J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guerrero J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Uruguay U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Scotti N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ecuador U17 32 / 100
Uruguay U17 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ecuador U17 Uruguay U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ecuador U17 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Uruguay U17 has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Ecuador U17 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ecuador U17 VS Uruguay U17
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ecuador U17

(Home)
19 Apr
Ecuador U17
0 : 1
Brazil U17
16 Apr
Ecuador U17
1 : 3
Argentina U17
12 Apr
Chile U17
1 : 3
Ecuador U17
07 Apr
Ecuador U17
2 : 1
Uruguay U17
05 Apr
Ecuador U17
0 : 0
Colombia U17
Page 1 of 6

Uruguay U17

(Away)
18 Apr
Uruguay U17
2 : 3
Chile U17
16 Apr
Uruguay U17
3 : 0
Venezuela U17
09 Apr
Colombia U17
0 : 2
Uruguay U17
07 Apr
Ecuador U17
2 : 1
Uruguay U17
05 Apr
Uruguay U17
1 : 1
Paraguay U17
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ecuador U17 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 Colombia U17 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
3 Uruguay U17 4 1 2 1 5:4 5
4 Chile U17 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
5 Paraguay U17 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
Promotion - South American Championship U17 (Play Offs)
Promotion - South American Championship U17 (5th-8th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U17 4 4 0 0 13:1 12
2 Argentina U17 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
3 Bolivia U17 4 1 2 1 5:8 5
4 Venezuela U17 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
5 Peru U17 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - South American Championship U17 (Play Offs)
Promotion - South American Championship U17 (5th-8th places)