Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ecuador U23 vs Mexico U23

World World

Pan American Games 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Vasquez J.
90' Event
Lainez M.

AI Match Summary

The Pan American Games 2019 game between Ecuador U23 and Mexico U23 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mexico U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ecuador U23
15%
Draws
48%
Mexico U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Mexico U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Ecuador U23 taking it.
  • Regular Pan American Games 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Ecuador U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Mexico U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ecuador U23 Mexico U23
Matches Played 20 35
Wins 5 20
Draws 2 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.15 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2019 Pan American Games
Ecuador U23 vs Mexico U23
0:2
Mar 10, 1995 Pan American Games
Mexico U23 vs Ecuador U23
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ecuador U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Mexico U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasquez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lainez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ecuador U23 50 / 100
Mexico U23 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ecuador U23 Mexico U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ecuador U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Mexico U23 let in goals in 69% of their last 35 matches.

Solid form: Ecuador U23 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Ecuador U23 scored in 55% of their last 20 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ecuador U23 VS Mexico U23
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ecuador U23

(Home)
29 Jan
Brazil U23
2 : 1
Ecuador U23
26 Jan
Bolivia U23
0 : 2
Ecuador U23
23 Jan
Ecuador U23
1 : 1
Venezuela U23
20 Jan
Ecuador U23
3 : 0
Colombia U23
17 Dec
Argentina U23
2 : 0
Ecuador U23
Page 1 of 4

Mexico U23

(Away)
10 Oct
Netherlands U21
1 : 0
Mexico U23
09 Sept
Mexico U23
2 : 1
Panama U23
06 Sept
Mexico U23
4 : 1
Panama U23
14 Jun
Mexico U23
1 : 3
Japan U19
11 Jun
South Korea U21
0 : 1
Mexico U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico U23 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Argentina U23 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
3 Panama U23 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
4 Ecuador U23 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Pan American Games 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pan American Games 2019 (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Pan American Games 2019 (5th-8th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uruguay U23 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Honduras U23 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
3 Jamaica U23 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Peru U23 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
Promotion - Pan American Games 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pan American Games 2019 (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Pan American Games 2019 (5th-8th places)