Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Hincapie P.
Assist: Caicedo M.
39'
39'
Lowe D.
45'
45'
Paez K.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jamaica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Jamaica lately — more wins on the board than Ecuador.
- Model gives Jamaica a 51% chance of winning this.
- Jamaica arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Ecuador, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Ecuador have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Ecuador Clean Sheet 23%
Jamaica Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ecuador | Jamaica |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 13 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.66 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 26, 2024 Copa América
Ecuador vs Jamaica
3:1
Sep 8, 2018 Friendly International
Ecuador vs Jamaica
2:0
Sep 2, 2011 Friendly International
Ecuador vs Jamaica
5:2
Aug 13, 2009 Friendly International
Ecuador vs Jamaica
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ecuador Compare
Top Goalscorer Hincapie P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Minda A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Jamaica Compare
Top Goalscorer Antonio M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ecuador 29 / 100
Jamaica 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ecuador Jamaica
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jamaica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.25 goals.
Attacking prowess: Ecuador scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Jamaica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.
Ecuador has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ecuador VS Jamaica
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ecuador
(Home) 24 Sept
South Korea
3 : 0 Ecuador
01 Jul
Mexico
2 : 0 Ecuador
25 Jun
Ecuador
2 : 1 Germany
21 Jun
Ecuador
0 : 0 Curacao
14 Jun
Ivory Coast
1 : 0 Ecuador
Page 1 of 6
25 Jun
Ecuador
2 : 1 Germany
21 Jun
Ecuador
0 : 0 Curacao
07 Jun
Ecuador
3 : 0 Guatemala
31 May
Ecuador
2 : 1 Saudi Arabia
19 Nov
Ecuador
2 : 0 New Zealand
Page 1 of 3
Jamaica
(Away) 26 Sept
Jamaica
3 : 2 Guatemala
06 Jun
Jamaica
1 : 1 South Africa
30 May
Jamaica
0 : 3 Nigeria
27 May
Jamaica
2 : 0 India
31 Mar
D.R. Congo
1 : 0 Jamaica
Page 1 of 6
31 Mar
D.R. Congo
1 : 0 Jamaica
27 Mar
New Caledonia
0 : 1 Jamaica
21 Feb
Martinique
0 : 2 Jamaica
18 Jan
Grenada
0 : 1 Jamaica
14 Nov
Trinidad & Tobago
1 : 1 Jamaica
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Chile | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | 2 |
| 4 | Peru | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:3 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa América (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Venezuela | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Mexico | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 4 |
| 4 | Jamaica | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa América (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uruguay | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Panama | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 3 | USA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Bolivia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa América (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Brazil | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 5 |
| 3 | Costa Rica | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Paraguay | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa América (Play Offs)
