Sport Picks

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Ecuador W vs Uruguay W

World World

Friendly International Women
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Pizarro E.
6' Event
Bolanos N.
(Penalty)
40' Event
Aquino B.

AI Match Summary

Uruguay W in this Friendly International Women matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uruguay W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ecuador W
20%
Draws
29%
Uruguay W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ecuador W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ecuador W have won more games recently than Uruguay W.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Friendly International Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Ecuador W Clean Sheet 68%
Uruguay W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ecuador W Uruguay W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.65 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Friendly International Women
Ecuador W vs Uruguay W
1:1
Mar 4, 2026 Friendly International Women
Ecuador W vs Uruguay W
2:3
Dec 2, 2025 CONMEBOL Nations League Women
Uruguay W vs Ecuador W
0:0
Jul 12, 2025 Copa América Women
Ecuador W vs Uruguay W
2:2
Feb 27, 2024 Friendly International Women
Uruguay W vs Ecuador W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ecuador W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolanos N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Uruguay W Compare

Top Goalscorer Aquino B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pizarro E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ecuador W 41 / 100
Uruguay W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ecuador W Uruguay W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ecuador W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ecuador W found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Uruguay W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ecuador W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ecuador W VS Uruguay W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ecuador W

(Home)
09 Jun
Ecuador W
0 : 1
Argentina W
05 Jun
Chile W
1 : 2
Ecuador W
18 Apr
Ecuador W
1 : 0
Peru W
10 Apr
Paraguay W
2 : 0
Ecuador W
07 Mar
Ecuador W
1 : 1
Uruguay W
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Uruguay W

(Away)
09 Jun
Uruguay W
1 : 1
Venezuela W
05 Jun
Colombia W
1 : 0
Uruguay W
18 Apr
Uruguay W
1 : 3
Chile W
14 Apr
Bolivia W
1 : 2
Uruguay W
10 Apr
Peru W
2 : 1
Uruguay W
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