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ECUS SP vs Sao-Carlense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
ECUS SP Logo

ECUS SP

1 - 1
FT
Sao-Carlense Logo

Sao-Carlense

Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Natanael
83' Event
Guilherme Mota
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista A4 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
ECUS SP
35%
Draws
23%
Sao-Carlense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ECUS SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ECUS SP lately — more wins on the board than Sao-Carlense.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on ECUS SP taking it.
  • Regular Paulista A4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
ECUS SP Clean Sheet 68%
Sao-Carlense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ECUS SP Sao-Carlense
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 11 12
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 0.91 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.56 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2026 Paulista A4
ECUS SP vs Sao-Carlense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ECUS SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Natanael
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Sao-Carlense Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme Mota
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ECUS SP 59 / 100
Sao-Carlense 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ECUS SP Sao-Carlense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ECUS SP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ECUS SP went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sao-Carlense has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: ECUS SP scored in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

ECUS SP VS Sao-Carlense
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ECUS SP

(Home)
04 Apr
Jacarei FC
0 : 0
ECUS SP
28 Mar
ECUS SP
2 : 0
Lemense
25 Mar
Nacional SP
0 : 0
ECUS SP
21 Mar
ECUS SP
2 : 0
AEA Aracatuba
18 Mar
Colorado Caieiras
0 : 2
ECUS SP
Page 1 of 7

Sao-Carlense

(Away)
01 May
Inter de Bebedouro
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
26 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 3
Inter de Bebedouro
19 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 0
Barretos EC
10 Apr
Barretos EC
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
04 Apr
Lemense
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter de Bebedouro 15 10 3 2 21:6 33
2 Sao Caetano 15 9 2 4 23:14 29
3 Penapolense 15 8 5 2 22:10 29
4 Sao-Carlense 15 7 5 3 20:13 26
5 Barretos EC 15 7 5 3 12:10 26
6 Taquaritinga 15 7 3 5 20:13 24
7 Jacarei FC 15 6 5 4 11:9 23
8 Lemense 15 6 4 5 14:12 22
9 ECUS SP 15 5 7 3 11:6 22
10 Comercial 15 6 2 7 17:16 20
11 Tanabi 15 4 6 5 12:10 18
12 Jabaquara 15 4 4 7 14:17 16
13 Vocem 15 3 6 6 12:13 15
14 Colorado Caieiras 15 1 7 7 6:20 10
15 Nacional SP 15 2 2 11 7:22 8
16 AEA Aracatuba 15 1 2 12 6:37 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista B (Main)