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ECUS SP vs Sao-Carlense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Natanael
83' Event
Guilherme Mota

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista A4 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
ECUS SP
28%
Draws
22%
Sao-Carlense
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: ECUS SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ECUS SP lately — more wins on the board than Sao-Carlense.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on ECUS SP taking it.
  • Regular Paulista A4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
ECUS SP Clean Sheet 68%
Sao-Carlense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ECUS SP Sao-Carlense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 9 12
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2026 Paulista A4
ECUS SP vs Sao-Carlense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ECUS SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Natanael
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sao-Carlense Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme Mota
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ECUS SP 59 / 100
Sao-Carlense 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ECUS SP Sao-Carlense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ECU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ECUS SP went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: ECUS SP scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Sao-Carlense let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

ECUS SP VS Sao-Carlense
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ECUS SP

(Home)
04 Apr
Jacarei FC
0 : 0
ECUS SP
28 Mar
ECUS SP
2 : 0
Lemense
25 Mar
Nacional SP
0 : 0
ECUS SP
21 Mar
ECUS SP
2 : 0
AEA Aracatuba
18 Mar
Colorado Caieiras
0 : 2
ECUS SP
Page 1 of 6

Sao-Carlense

(Away)
01 May
Inter de Bebedouro
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
26 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 3
Inter de Bebedouro
19 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 0
Barretos EC
10 Apr
Barretos EC
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
04 Apr
Lemense
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter de Bebedouro15103221:633
2Sao Caetano1592423:1429
3Penapolense1585222:1029
4Sao-Carlense1575320:1326
5Barretos EC1575312:1026
6Taquaritinga1573520:1324
7Jacarei FC1565411:923
8Lemense1564514:1222
9ECUS SP1557311:622
10Comercial1562717:1620
11Tanabi1546512:1018
12Jabaquara1544714:1716
13Vocem1536612:1315
14Colorado Caieiras151776:2010
15Nacional SP1522117:228
16AEA Aracatuba1512126:375
Promotion - Paulista A4 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista B (Main)