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ECUS SP vs Tanabi

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Jose Moura do Vale T.

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 game between ECUS SP and Tanabi finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tanabi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
ECUS SP
35%
Draws
10%
Tanabi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ECUS SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Tanabi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans ECUS SP's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Paulista A4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Tanabi have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
ECUS SP Clean Sheet 68%
Tanabi Clean Sheet 22%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ECUS SP Tanabi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 0.97 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.6 0.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Paulista A4
ECUS SP vs Tanabi
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 Paulista B
Tanabi vs ECUS SP
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 Paulista B
ECUS SP vs Tanabi
0:2
Aug 10, 2013 Paulista A4
Tanabi vs ECUS SP
2:0
Aug 3, 2013 Paulista A4
ECUS SP vs Tanabi
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ECUS SP Compare

Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Tanabi Compare

Top Goalscorer Jose Moura do Vale T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ECUS SP 86 / 100
Tanabi 13 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ECUS SP Tanabi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ECUS SP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ECUS SP went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

ECUS SP scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Tanabi has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tanabi let in goals in 30% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

ECUS SP VS Tanabi
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
25% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ECUS SP

(Home)
04 Apr
Jacarei FC
0 : 0
ECUS SP
28 Mar
ECUS SP
2 : 0
Lemense
25 Mar
Nacional SP
0 : 0
ECUS SP
21 Mar
ECUS SP
2 : 0
AEA Aracatuba
18 Mar
Colorado Caieiras
0 : 2
ECUS SP
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Tanabi

(Away)
04 Apr
Comercial
2 : 1
Tanabi
28 Mar
Tanabi
0 : 0
Colorado Caieiras
25 Mar
Taquaritinga
2 : 1
Tanabi
21 Mar
Inter de Bebedouro
0 : 0
Tanabi
18 Mar
Tanabi
1 : 2
Sao Caetano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter de Bebedouro 15 10 3 2 21:6 33
2 Sao Caetano 15 9 2 4 23:14 29
3 Penapolense 15 8 5 2 22:10 29
4 Sao-Carlense 15 7 5 3 20:13 26
5 Barretos EC 15 7 5 3 12:10 26
6 Taquaritinga 15 7 3 5 20:13 24
7 Jacarei FC 15 6 5 4 11:9 23
8 Lemense 15 6 4 5 14:12 22
9 ECUS SP 15 5 7 3 11:6 22
10 Comercial 15 6 2 7 17:16 20
11 Tanabi 15 4 6 5 12:10 18
12 Jabaquara 15 4 4 7 14:17 16
13 Vocem 15 3 6 6 12:13 15
14 Colorado Caieiras 15 1 7 7 6:20 10
15 Nacional SP 15 2 2 11 7:22 8
16 AEA Aracatuba 15 1 2 12 6:37 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista B (Main)