Sport Picks

Nigeria

NNL

Crown FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Edel FC play Crown FC in the NNL. It looks like a close match. Recently, Edel FC averaged 1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Crown FC averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Edel FC won 2, Crown FC won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 7, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Edel FC and 0.94 for Crown FC. This points to a Edel FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Edel FC

15%

Draws

41%

Crown FC

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Edel FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Edel FC picked up more points recently compared to Crown FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 66%

Over 2.5 Goals 43%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Edel FC Clean Sheet 24%

Crown FC Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Edel FC	Crown FC
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	11
Draws	5	6
Losses	13	13
Goals Scored	1	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.1	1.07
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 NNL

Edel FC vs Crown FC

Possession: 49% - 59% Cards: 4 - 1

2:1

Dec 13, 2025 NNL

Crown FC vs Edel FC

Possession: 59% - 41% Cards: 4 - 2

3:0

Apr 19, 2025 NNL

Edel FC vs Crown FC

Possession: 43% - 56% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Feb 8, 2025 NNL

Crown FC vs Edel FC

Possession: 51% - 50% Cards: 0 - 2

1:0

Aug 27, 2022 NNL

Crown FC vs Edel FC

Possession: 54% - 41% Cards: 2 - 4

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Edel FC 44 / 100

Crown FC 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Edel FC Crown FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Edel FC or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.1%

2.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Edel FC attacking → ← attacking Crown FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Edel FC scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Crown FC let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Edel FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Crown FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 39

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Inter Lagos	16	8	5	3	26:13	29
2	Beyond Limits FC	16	7	7	2	23:13	28
3	Heartland FC	16	8	3	5	21:17	27
4	Smart City	16	8	3	5	21:19	27
5	Sunshine Stars	16	7	4	5	18:14	25
6	Edel FC	16	6	2	8	14:20	20
7	Crown FC	16	4	4	8	18:19	16
8	Abia Comets	16	4	3	9	16:31	15
9	Gateway United	16	3	3	10	13:24	12

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sporting Lagos	18	11	3	4	31:14	36
2	Akwa United	18	11	2	5	23:13	35
3	Ekiti United	18	10	0	8	21:17	30
4	Stormers	18	8	2	8	24:26	26
5	Abakaliki	18	7	4	7	19:17	25
6	Solution	18	8	1	9	18:22	25
7	Godswill Akpabio	18	6	6	6	27:24	24
8	Rovers FC	18	7	1	10	15:21	22
9	Osun United	18	6	2	10	16:24	20
10	First Bank	18	4	3	11	15:31	15

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Doma United	14	8	2	4	18:11	26
2	Lobi	14	7	2	5	12:10	23
3	Basira	14	6	3	5	17:14	21
4	Kada Warriors	14	5	5	4	11:9	20
5	Sokoto United	14	5	3	6	9:11	18
6	ABS	14	5	2	7	10:16	17
7	Mighty Jets	14	5	1	8	14:16	16
8	City FC Abuja	14	4	4	6	10:14	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ranchers Bees	12	6	2	4	11:9	20
2	Adamawa Utd	12	6	0	6	12:11	18
3	Jigawa Golden Stars	12	5	3	4	12:15	18
4	Yobe Stars	12	5	2	5	14:13	17
5	Kebbi	12	5	1	6	11:11	16
6	Bichi First	12	4	3	5	11:9	15
7	Gombe	12	4	3	5	8:11	15
8	Sporting Supreme	0	0	0	0	0:0	0