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Edgewater Castle vs Chicago Dutch Lions

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chicago Dutch Lions in this USL League Two matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chicago Dutch Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Edgewater Castle
6%
Draws
90%
Chicago Dutch Lions
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chicago Dutch Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chicago Dutch Lions lately — more wins on the board than Edgewater Castle.
  • Model gives Chicago Dutch Lions a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular USL League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Edgewater Castle Clean Sheet 10%
Chicago Dutch Lions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Edgewater Castle Chicago Dutch Lions
Matches Played 12 30
Wins 2 7
Draws 0 1
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 1.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 3.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 USL League Two
Edgewater Castle vs Chicago Dutch Lions
0:5
May 31, 2026 USL League Two
Chicago Dutch Lions vs Edgewater Castle
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Edgewater Castle 10 / 100
Chicago Dutch Lions 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Edgewater Castle Chicago Dutch Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chicago Dutch Lions let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Edgewater Castle's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

Chicago Dutch Lions lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Edgewater Castle VS Chicago Dutch Lions
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Edgewater Castle

(Home)
12 Jul
Edgewater Castle
0 : 4
Minneapolis City
05 Jul
St. Croix
7 : 1
Edgewater Castle
27 Jun
Edgewater Castle
0 : 5
Chicago Dutch Lions
25 Jun
Rockford Raptors
3 : 2
Edgewater Castle
20 Jun
Minneapolis City
3 : 1
Edgewater Castle
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Chicago Dutch Lions

(Away)
11 Jul
Sueno
4 : 1
Chicago Dutch Lions
09 Jul
RKC SC
4 : 2
Chicago Dutch Lions
02 Jul
Rochester FC
0 : 4
Chicago Dutch Lions
27 Jun
Edgewater Castle
0 : 5
Chicago Dutch Lions
21 Jun
Chicago Dutch Lions
2 : 0
RKC SC
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