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Edgewater Castle vs Rockford Raptors

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The USL League Two game between Edgewater Castle and Rockford Raptors finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Edgewater Castle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Edgewater Castle
6%
Draws
90%
Rockford Raptors
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rockford Raptors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rockford Raptors come out ahead of Edgewater Castle on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Rockford Raptors taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Edgewater Castle Clean Sheet 10%
Rockford Raptors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Edgewater Castle Rockford Raptors
Matches Played 12 12
Wins 2 6
Draws 0 0
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 3.75 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.75 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2026 USL League Two
Rockford Raptors vs Edgewater Castle
3:2
May 16, 2026 USL League Two
Edgewater Castle vs Rockford Raptors
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Edgewater Castle 10 / 100
Rockford Raptors 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Edgewater Castle Rockford Raptors

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Edgewater Castle's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

Defensive concern: Rockford Raptors conceded in 67% of 12 recent games.

Rockford Raptors lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Edgewater Castle VS Rockford Raptors
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
3.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 63%