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Edinburgh City vs Dumbarton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League Two Meadowbank Sports Centre, Edinburgh
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Lawson I.
Assist: Leitch J.
32' Event
McIntosh L.
Assist: Honeyman S.
35'
Honeyman S.

AI Match Summary

Edinburgh City in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Edinburgh City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Edinburgh City
30%
Draws
41%
Dumbarton
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dumbarton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Dumbarton haven't matched Edinburgh City's recent run of results.
  • Edinburgh City are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Edinburgh City have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Edinburgh City Clean Sheet 14%
Dumbarton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Edinburgh City Dumbarton
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 2
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.64 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 League Two
Edinburgh City vs Dumbarton
2:1
Aug 15, 2026 League Two
Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City
0:3
May 2, 2026 League Two
Edinburgh City vs Dumbarton
5:0
Jan 31, 2026 League Two
Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 League Two
Edinburgh City vs Dumbarton
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Edinburgh City Compare

Top Goalscorer Lawson I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leitch J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Dumbarton Compare

Top Goalscorer McIntosh L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Edinburgh City 39 / 100
Dumbarton 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Edinburgh City Dumbarton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Edinburgh City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dumbarton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Edinburgh City scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: Edinburgh City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Edinburgh City VS Dumbarton
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Edinburgh City

(Home)
24 Oct
Edinburgh City
4 : 1
Kelty Hearts
17 Oct
Elgin City
0 : 0
Edinburgh City
13 Oct
Edinburgh City
0 : 5
St. Mirren B
10 Oct
Edinburgh City
1 : 3
Spartans
03 Oct
Stranraer
0 : 0
Edinburgh City
Page 1 of 6

Dumbarton

(Away)
24 Oct
Dumbarton
1 : 0
Keith
17 Oct
Dumbarton
1 : 1
Stirling
13 Oct
Clydebank FC
4 : 0
Dumbarton
10 Oct
Clyde
2 : 1
Dumbarton
03 Oct
Dumbarton
2 : 1
Forfar Athletic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stranraer 11 7 2 2 25:9 23
2 Clyde 11 7 2 2 27:18 23
3 Elgin City 11 5 3 3 27:17 18
4 Spartans 11 4 3 4 22:20 15
5 Kelty Hearts 11 5 0 6 16:21 15
6 Dumbarton 11 4 1 6 12:18 13
7 Stirling 11 3 3 5 14:24 12
8 Edinburgh City 11 4 4 3 20:18 11
9 Forfar Athletic 11 3 2 6 11:19 11
10 Annan 11 3 0 8 11:21 9
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)