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Edinburgh City vs Elgin City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League Two Meadowbank Sports Centre, Edinburgh
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Murray J.
Assist: MacIver J.
24'
Grigor J.
28' Event
Hyde L.
Assist: Grant M.

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Edinburgh City and Elgin City finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elgin City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Edinburgh City
15%
Draws
40%
Elgin City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Edinburgh City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Elgin City come out ahead of Edinburgh City on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Elgin City here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Edinburgh City Clean Sheet 10%
Elgin City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Edinburgh City Elgin City
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.46 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 League Two
Edinburgh City vs Elgin City
0:5
Mar 21, 2026 League Two
Edinburgh City vs Elgin City
0:3
Feb 24, 2026 League Two
Elgin City vs Edinburgh City
3:0
Nov 8, 2025 League Two
Edinburgh City vs Elgin City
1:3
Aug 23, 2025 League Two
Elgin City vs Edinburgh City
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Edinburgh City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Elgin City Compare

Top Goalscorer Murray J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hyde L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Edinburgh City 34 / 100
Elgin City 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Edinburgh City Elgin City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elgin City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Edinburgh City scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Elgin City has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Edinburgh City stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Edinburgh City VS Elgin City
1.88 Goals Scored 2.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Edinburgh City

(Home)
03 Oct
Stranraer
0 : 0
Edinburgh City
26 Sept
Formartine Utd
2 : 0
Edinburgh City
22 Sept
Edinburgh City
1 : 0
Dundee Utd B
19 Sept
Kelty Hearts
1 : 3
Edinburgh City
12 Sept
Edinburgh City
7 : 3
Stirling
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Elgin City

(Away)
03 Oct
Elgin City
6 : 2
Clyde
26 Sept
Peterhead
0 : 1
Elgin City
22 Sept
Elgin City
3 : 0
Dundee FC B
19 Sept
Elgin City
1 : 5
Stranraer
12 Sept
Annan
2 : 0
Elgin City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stranraer 9 5 2 2 17:8 17
2 Clyde 9 5 2 2 21:16 17
3 Elgin City 9 4 2 3 25:16 14
4 Spartans 9 3 3 3 19:17 12
5 Kelty Hearts 9 4 0 5 13:18 12
6 Dumbarton 9 4 0 5 10:15 12
7 Forfar Athletic 9 3 2 4 9:15 11
8 Edinburgh City 9 4 3 2 19:15 10
9 Annan 9 3 0 6 9:11 9
10 Stirling 9 2 2 5 11:22 8
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)