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Edinburgh City vs Forfar Athletic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League Two Meadowbank Sports Centre, Edinburgh
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Haddow A.
39'
Sub
Walker J. In: Glasgow E.
Out: Walker J.
40'
McGregor J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Edinburgh City
15%
Draws
39%
Forfar Athletic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Edinburgh City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Forfar Athletic haven't matched Edinburgh City's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Edinburgh City Clean Sheet 21%
Forfar Athletic Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Edinburgh City Forfar Athletic
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 League Two
Edinburgh City vs Forfar Athletic
1:1
Apr 25, 2026 League Two
Forfar Athletic vs Edinburgh City
4:0
Feb 28, 2026 League Two
Edinburgh City vs Forfar Athletic
0:0
Dec 20, 2025 League Two
Forfar Athletic vs Edinburgh City
2:3
Dec 9, 2025 Challenge Cup
Forfar Athletic vs Edinburgh City
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Edinburgh City Compare

Top Goalscorer McGregor J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Forfar Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Shepherd S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Edinburgh City 32 / 100
Forfar Athletic 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Edinburgh City Forfar Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forfar Athletic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Edinburgh City found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Forfar Athletic let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Edinburgh City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Edinburgh City VS Forfar Athletic
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Edinburgh City

(Home)
10 Oct
Edinburgh City
1 : 3
Spartans
03 Oct
Stranraer
0 : 0
Edinburgh City
26 Sept
Formartine Utd
2 : 0
Edinburgh City
22 Sept
Edinburgh City
1 : 0
Dundee Utd B
19 Sept
Kelty Hearts
1 : 3
Edinburgh City
Page 1 of 6

Forfar Athletic

(Away)
10 Oct
Forfar Athletic
1 : 2
Elgin City
03 Oct
Dumbarton
2 : 1
Forfar Athletic
29 Sept
Forfar Athletic
2 : 0
Formartine Utd
26 Sept
Forfar Athletic
2 : 1
Dundee Utd B
22 Sept
Forfar Athletic
0 : 2
Peterhead
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stranraer 10 6 2 2 23:9 20
2 Clyde 10 6 2 2 23:17 20
3 Elgin City 10 5 2 3 27:17 17
4 Spartans 10 4 3 3 22:18 15
5 Kelty Hearts 10 4 0 6 14:20 12
6 Dumbarton 10 4 0 6 11:17 12
7 Forfar Athletic 10 3 2 5 10:17 11
8 Stirling 10 3 2 5 13:23 11
9 Edinburgh City 10 4 3 3 20:18 10
10 Annan 10 3 0 7 10:17 9
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)