Sport Picks

Edinburgh City vs Kelty Hearts - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland

Scottish Cup

Kelty Hearts

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Scottish Cup. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Kelty Hearts have shipped 2.04 goals a game lately, while Edinburgh City have conceded 1.72 and scored 1.41. Head-to-head, Edinburgh City have won 1 to Kelty Hearts's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 19, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.75) point toward Kelty Hearts. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%

Edinburgh City

20%

Draws

65%

Kelty Hearts

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kelty Hearts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence

Attack-wise there's a gap: Kelty Hearts at 1.5 per game, Edinburgh City at 1.41.
Kelty Hearts are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Kelty Hearts, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Kelty Hearts have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%

Edinburgh City Clean Sheet 12%

Kelty Hearts Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Edinburgh City	Kelty Hearts
Matches Played	32	28
Wins	12	12
Draws	8	0
Losses	12	16
Goals Scored	1.41	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.72	2.04
Expected Goals (xG)	1.94	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 League Two

Kelty Hearts vs Edinburgh City

1:3

Mar 30, 2024 League One

Kelty Hearts vs Edinburgh City

3:1

Feb 13, 2024 League One

Kelty Hearts vs Edinburgh City

3:2

Feb 3, 2024 League One

Edinburgh City vs Kelty Hearts

0:3

Oct 7, 2023 League One

Edinburgh City vs Kelty Hearts

1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Edinburgh City 10 / 100

Kelty Hearts 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Edinburgh City Kelty Hearts

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kelty Hearts Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kelty Hearts has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Edinburgh City scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Edinburgh City went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Edinburgh City VS Kelty Hearts

1.88 Goals Scored 1.88

1.63 Goals Conceded 2

75% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 88%

50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Edinburgh City

(Home)

17 Oct

Elgin City

0 : 0

Edinburgh City

13 Oct

Edinburgh City

0 : 5

St. Mirren B

10 Oct

Edinburgh City

1 : 3

Spartans

03 Oct

Stranraer

0 : 0

Edinburgh City

26 Sept

Formartine Utd

2 : 0

Edinburgh City

Page 1 of 7

Kelty Hearts

(Away)

17 Oct

Kelty Hearts

2 : 1

Forfar Athletic

13 Oct

East Kilbride

2 : 1

Kelty Hearts

10 Oct

Stirling

2 : 1

Kelty Hearts

03 Oct

Spartans

0 : 2

Kelty Hearts

26 Sept

Kelty Hearts

2 : 1

Montrose

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Boness United 3

Irvine Meadow 2

TBD -

Forfar Athletic -

Edinburgh City -

TBD -

Kelty Hearts -

Rothes 0

Brora Rangers 9

Cowdenbeath 4

Berwick 0

Newton Stewart 1

Johnstone Burgh 3

Civil Service Strollers 0

Formartine Utd 2

Brechin 3

Buckie Thistle 2

Strathspey Thistle 3

Dalbeattie Star 2

Lochee United 3

Inverurie Loco Works 2

TBD -

Spartans -

Haddington Athletic 0

Cumbernauld Colts 2

Kirkintilloch Rob Roy 1

Banks O' Dee 2

Hill Of Beath 2

Glasgow University 0

Musselburgh 2

Lossiemouth 1

Gala Fairydean Rovers 0

Largs Thistle 1

Dunipace 5

Preston Athletic 2

Dumbarton -

TBD -

Keith 2

Stonehaven 1

Nairn County 0

Gretna 2008 1

Cumnock Juniors 2

Auchinleck Talbot 0

Deveronvale 2

Troon FC 3

Caledonian Braves 4

Fraserburgh 0

Beith 0

Huntly 3

TBD -

Annan -

Forres Mechanics 0

Stirling University 1

TBD -

Elgin City -

Renfrew 3

Broxburn Athletic 2

TBD -

Stirling -

Bonnyton Thistle 2

East Stirlingshire 0

Clachnacuddin 2

Bonnyrigg Rose 0

Stranraer -

TBD -

Tayport FC 3

Wick Academy 0

Penicuik 3

Kilwinning Rangers 1

TBD -

Clyde -

Threave Rovers 3

Invergordon 2

Pollok 4

Albion Rovers 1

Linlithgow Rose 0

Clydebank FC 1

Tranent FC 3

Turriff United 1

TBD -

1/64-finals

Boness United -

Forfar Athletic -

Edinburgh City -

Kelty Hearts -

Brora Rangers -

Cowdenbeath -

Johnstone Burgh -

Formartine Utd -

Brechin -

Strathspey Thistle -

Lochee United -

Spartans -

Cumbernauld Colts -

Banks O' Dee -

Hill Of Beath -

Musselburgh -

Largs Thistle -

Dunipace -

Dumbarton -

Keith -

Gretna 2008 -

Cumnock Juniors -

Troon FC -

Caledonian Braves -

Huntly -

Annan -

Stirling University -

Elgin City -

Renfrew -

Stirling -

Bonnyton Thistle -

Clachnacuddin -

Stranraer -

Tayport FC -

Penicuik -

Clyde -

Threave Rovers -

Pollok -

Clydebank FC -

Tranent FC -

TBD -

1/32-finals

TBD -

1/16-finals

TBD -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Edinburgh City vs Kelty Hearts - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland

Edinburgh City

Kelty Hearts

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Edinburgh City

Kelty Hearts

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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