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Edinburgh City vs Kelty Hearts - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League Two Meadowbank Sports Centre, Edinburgh
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Edinburgh City host Kelty Hearts in the League Two. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Edinburgh City at 1.69 goals for, 1.52 against; Kelty Hearts at 1.48 for, 2.19 against. Head-to-head, Edinburgh City have won 2 to Kelty Hearts's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 24, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.88 - 1.69) back Edinburgh City to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Edinburgh City
20%
Draws
44%
Kelty Hearts
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kelty Hearts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Edinburgh City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Edinburgh City Clean Sheet 13%
Kelty Hearts Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Edinburgh City Kelty Hearts
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 0
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.69 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 Scottish Cup
Edinburgh City vs Kelty Hearts
4:1
Sep 19, 2026 League Two
Kelty Hearts vs Edinburgh City
1:3
Mar 30, 2024 League One
Kelty Hearts vs Edinburgh City
3:1
Feb 13, 2024 League One
Kelty Hearts vs Edinburgh City
3:2
Feb 3, 2024 League One
Edinburgh City vs Kelty Hearts
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Edinburgh City 30 / 100
Kelty Hearts 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Edinburgh City Kelty Hearts

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Edinburgh City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kelty Hearts conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Edinburgh City scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Edinburgh City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Edinburgh City VS Kelty Hearts
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Edinburgh City

(Home)
24 Oct
Edinburgh City
4 : 1
Kelty Hearts
17 Oct
Elgin City
0 : 0
Edinburgh City
13 Oct
Edinburgh City
0 : 5
St. Mirren B
10 Oct
Edinburgh City
1 : 3
Spartans
03 Oct
Stranraer
0 : 0
Edinburgh City
Page 1 of 6

Kelty Hearts

(Away)
24 Oct
Edinburgh City
4 : 1
Kelty Hearts
17 Oct
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1
Forfar Athletic
13 Oct
East Kilbride
2 : 1
Kelty Hearts
10 Oct
Stirling
2 : 1
Kelty Hearts
03 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2
Kelty Hearts
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stranraer 11 7 2 2 25:9 23
2 Clyde 11 7 2 2 27:18 23
3 Elgin City 11 5 3 3 27:17 18
4 Spartans 11 4 3 4 22:20 15
5 Kelty Hearts 11 5 0 6 16:21 15
6 Dumbarton 11 4 1 6 12:18 13
7 Stirling 11 3 3 5 14:24 12
8 Edinburgh City 11 4 4 3 20:18 11
9 Forfar Athletic 11 3 2 6 11:19 11
10 Annan 11 3 0 8 11:21 9
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)