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Edinburgh City vs Queen of the South - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Meadowbank Sports Centre, Edinburgh
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Leitch J.
Assist: Walker L.
66' Event
Young C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Edinburgh City
20%
Draws
47%
Queen of the South
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Queen of the South

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Queen of the South haven't matched Edinburgh City's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Edinburgh City taking it.
  • Edinburgh City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Edinburgh City Clean Sheet 13%
Queen of the South Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Edinburgh City Queen of the South
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Challenge Cup
Edinburgh City vs Queen of the South
1:1
Jul 15, 2025 League Cup
Queen of the South vs Edinburgh City
4:0
Apr 13, 2024 League One
Queen of the South vs Edinburgh City
2:0
Feb 17, 2024 League One
Edinburgh City vs Queen of the South
1:1
Dec 16, 2023 League One
Queen of the South vs Edinburgh City
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Edinburgh City Compare

Top Goalscorer Leitch J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Queen of the South Compare

Top Goalscorer Young C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Edinburgh City 40 / 100
Queen of the South 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Edinburgh City Queen of the South

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queen of the South has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Edinburgh City scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Edinburgh City has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Edinburgh City VS Queen of the South
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Edinburgh City

(Home)
10 Oct
Edinburgh City
1 : 3
Spartans
03 Oct
Stranraer
0 : 0
Edinburgh City
26 Sept
Formartine Utd
2 : 0
Edinburgh City
22 Sept
Edinburgh City
1 : 0
Dundee Utd B
19 Sept
Kelty Hearts
1 : 3
Edinburgh City
Page 1 of 6

Queen of the South

(Away)
10 Oct
Peterhead
0 : 1
Queen of the South
03 Oct
Queen of the South
4 : 3
Cove Rangers
26 Sept
Queen of the South
4 : 2
Rangers B
22 Sept
Queen of the South
1 : 1
Annan
19 Sept
Hamilton
4 : 1
Queen of the South
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Ross County 5 4 0 1 28:6 12
3 Airdrieonians 5 4 0 1 18:6 12
4 Elgin City 5 4 0 1 14:2 12
5 Cove Rangers 5 4 0 1 17:6 12
6 Peterhead 5 4 0 1 11:4 12
7 Alloa 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
8 Queen of the South 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
9 East Kilbride 5 3 1 1 17:12 10
10 Stirling 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
11 Edinburgh City 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
12 St. Mirren B 5 3 0 2 14:8 9
13 Hamilton 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
14 Montrose 5 3 0 2 11:7 9
15 Celtic B 5 2 3 0 15:12 9
16 Formartine Utd 5 3 0 2 11:8 9
17 Kelty Hearts 5 3 0 2 14:13 9
18 Bonnyrigg Rose 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
19 Hearts B 5 3 0 2 15:26 9
20 Annan 5 2 2 1 9:5 8
21 Spartans 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
22 Aberdeen B 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
23 East Fife 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
24 Forfar Athletic 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
25 Berwick 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
26 Dumbarton 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
27 Stranraer 5 2 0 3 13:12 6
28 Rangers B 5 2 0 3 11:10 6
29 Clachnacuddin 5 1 1 3 10:12 4
30 Kilmarnock B 5 1 1 3 8:13 4
31 Banks O' Dee 5 1 1 3 6:14 4
32 Fraserburgh 5 1 1 3 5:18 4
33 Clyde 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
34 Dundee Utd B 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
35 Cumbernauld Colts 5 0 2 3 4:13 2
36 Gala Fairydean Rovers 5 0 2 3 3:15 2
37 Cowdenbeath 5 0 0 5 4:12 0
38 Dundee FC B 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
39 Hibernian B 5 0 0 5 2:12 0
40 Motherwell B 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)