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Edinburgh City vs St. Mirren B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Meadowbank Sports Centre, Edinburgh
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Challenge Cup. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. St. Mirren B have shipped 2.41 goals a game lately, while Edinburgh City have conceded 1.63 and scored 1.4. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.85 xG vs 1.73) point toward Edinburgh City. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Edinburgh City
15%
Draws
40%
St. Mirren B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Edinburgh City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Edinburgh City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans St. Mirren B's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Edinburgh City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Edinburgh City Clean Sheet 12%
St. Mirren B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Edinburgh City St. Mirren B
Matches Played 30 17
Wins 12 5
Draws 7 2
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.4 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Edinburgh City 19 / 100
St. Mirren B 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Edinburgh City St. Mirren B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Mirren B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Mirren B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 17 matches.

Edinburgh City's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Edinburgh City has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

St. Mirren B lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Edinburgh City VS St. Mirren B
2.38 Goals Scored 2.33
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Edinburgh City

(Home)
03 Oct
Stranraer
0 : 0
Edinburgh City
26 Sept
Formartine Utd
2 : 0
Edinburgh City
22 Sept
Edinburgh City
1 : 0
Dundee Utd B
19 Sept
Kelty Hearts
1 : 3
Edinburgh City
12 Sept
Edinburgh City
7 : 3
Stirling
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St. Mirren B

(Away)
26 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
2 : 4
St. Mirren B
22 Sept
Clydebank FC
2 : 1
St. Mirren B
08 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
St. Mirren B
25 Aug
East Fife
2 : 5
St. Mirren B
11 Aug
Clyde
1 : 4
St. Mirren B
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Ross County 5 4 0 1 28:6 12
3 Airdrieonians 5 4 0 1 18:6 12
4 Elgin City 5 4 0 1 14:2 12
5 Cove Rangers 5 4 0 1 17:6 12
6 Peterhead 5 4 0 1 11:4 12
7 Alloa 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
8 Queen of the South 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
9 East Kilbride 5 3 1 1 17:12 10
10 Stirling 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
11 Edinburgh City 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
12 St. Mirren B 5 3 0 2 14:8 9
13 Hamilton 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
14 Montrose 5 3 0 2 11:7 9
15 Celtic B 5 2 3 0 15:12 9
16 Formartine Utd 5 3 0 2 11:8 9
17 Kelty Hearts 5 3 0 2 14:13 9
18 Bonnyrigg Rose 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
19 Hearts B 5 3 0 2 15:26 9
20 Annan 5 2 2 1 9:5 8
21 Spartans 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
22 Aberdeen B 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
23 East Fife 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
24 Forfar Athletic 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
25 Berwick 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
26 Dumbarton 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
27 Stranraer 5 2 0 3 13:12 6
28 Rangers B 5 2 0 3 11:10 6
29 Clachnacuddin 5 1 1 3 10:12 4
30 Kilmarnock B 5 1 1 3 8:13 4
31 Banks O' Dee 5 1 1 3 6:14 4
32 Fraserburgh 5 1 1 3 5:18 4
33 Clyde 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
34 Dundee Utd B 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
35 Cumbernauld Colts 5 0 2 3 4:13 2
36 Gala Fairydean Rovers 5 0 2 3 3:15 2
37 Cowdenbeath 5 0 0 5 4:12 0
38 Dundee FC B 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
39 Hibernian B 5 0 0 5 2:12 0
40 Motherwell B 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)