Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Eemdijk vs Ajax (Am)

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2024/2025 Sportpark De Vinken, Spakenburg
Eemdijk Logo

Eemdijk

4 - 1
FT
Ajax (Am) Logo

Ajax (Am)

Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Misa-Danso K.
60' Event
van Dalen J.
70' Event
Kroonenberg N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2024/2025 game between Eemdijk and Ajax (Am) finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eemdijk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Eemdijk
15%
Draws
0%
Ajax (Am)
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eemdijk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ajax (Am) haven't matched Eemdijk's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Eemdijk a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Eemdijk have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Eemdijk Clean Sheet 17%
Ajax (Am) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eemdijk Ajax (Am)
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.79 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.17 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2025 Derde Divisie
Eemdijk vs Ajax (Am)
4:1
Sep 28, 2024 Derde Divisie
Ajax (Am) vs Eemdijk
1:3
Mar 9, 2019 Derde Divisie
Eemdijk vs Ajax (Am)
5:3
Nov 3, 2018 Derde Divisie
Ajax (Am) vs Eemdijk
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eemdijk Compare

Top Goalscorer Kroonenberg N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader van Dalen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Ajax (Am) Compare

Top Goalscorer Misa-Danso K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eemdijk 57 / 100
Ajax (Am) 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eemdijk Ajax (Am)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eemdijk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eemdijk's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ajax (Am)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Ajax (Am)'s recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Eemdijk VS Ajax (Am)
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Eemdijk

(Home)
19 Sept
Eemdijk
0 : 4
Sparta Nijkerk
12 Sept
ACV Assen
5 : 1
Eemdijk
05 Sept
Eemdijk
1 : 2
Harkemase Boys
01 Sept
Elinkwijk
0 : 3
Eemdijk
29 Aug
Genemuiden
3 : 1
Eemdijk
Page 1 of 6

Ajax (Am)

(Away)
02 Sept
VVSB
2 : 0
Ajax (Am)
29 Jul
Ajax (Am)
3 : 4
Jong Almere City
04 Jun
Ajax (Am)
0 : 1
Kampong
31 May
Kampong
4 : 2
Ajax (Am)
24 May
Genemuiden
1 : 0
Ajax (Am)
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IJsselmeervogels 34 26 4 4 98:35 82
2 Harkemase Boys 34 21 7 6 74:46 70
3 Sportlust 34 20 7 7 78:37 67
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 19 8 7 78:52 65
5 Sparta Nijkerk 34 16 10 8 68:50 58
6 USV Hercules 34 16 6 12 65:56 54
7 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 43:39 52
8 Genemuiden 34 13 9 12 52:44 48
9 Urk 34 15 2 17 56:67 47
10 Eemdijk 34 11 10 13 64:66 43
11 TEC 34 11 9 14 46:56 42
12 Rohda Raalte 34 11 7 16 63:68 40
13 HSC '21 34 12 4 18 50:66 40
14 Huizen 34 10 6 18 44:62 36
15 Excelsior 31 34 9 9 16 46:71 36
16 Ajax (Am) 34 9 8 17 48:64 35
17 DEM 34 8 6 20 43:85 30
18 HBC 34 1 7 26 40:92 10
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HSV Hoek 34 20 10 4 77:33 70
2 Kozakken Boys 34 19 7 8 72:29 64
3 Blauw Geel 34 19 7 8 73:45 64
4 VV Kloetinge 34 18 7 9 66:42 61
5 Gemert 34 17 7 10 57:50 58
6 Lisse 34 15 9 10 55:41 54
7 UNA 34 15 8 11 51:48 53
8 VVSB 34 15 6 13 61:61 51
9 SteDoCo 34 13 9 12 57:46 48
10 Meerssen 34 13 6 15 44:50 45
11 Rijnvogels 34 13 6 15 63:72 45
12 ASWH 34 12 6 16 59:73 42
13 TOGB 34 11 8 15 55:53 41
14 GOES 34 9 12 13 53:65 39
15 OJC Rosmalen 34 11 6 17 45:58 39
16 FC 's-Gravenzande 34 9 7 18 51:69 34
17 Smitshoek 34 6 7 21 53:94 25
18 HV & CV Quick 34 5 4 25 42:105 19
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)