Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Eemdijk vs Excelsior 31

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark De Vinken, Spakenburg
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Eemdijk
15%
Draws
53%
Excelsior 31
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior 31

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Eemdijk at 1.8 per game, Excelsior 31 at 1.66.
  • Win probability leans Excelsior 31's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Eemdijk Clean Sheet 13%
Excelsior 31 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eemdijk Excelsior 31
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.8 1.66
Goals Conceded 2 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs Eemdijk
4:0
Feb 21, 2026 Derde Divisie
Eemdijk vs Excelsior 31
2:2
Sep 23, 2025 KNVB Beker
Eemdijk vs Excelsior 31
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs Eemdijk
0:3
Jan 25, 2025 Derde Divisie
Eemdijk vs Excelsior 31
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eemdijk 10 / 100
Excelsior 31 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eemdijk Excelsior 31

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior 31 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eemdijk scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Excelsior 31 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Eemdijk went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eemdijk VS Excelsior 31
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Eemdijk

(Home)
15 Aug
Excelsior 31
4 : 0
Eemdijk
08 Aug
Eemdijk
2 : 1
VV Berkum
01 Aug
Eemdijk
1 : 3
VV DOVO
28 Jul
GVVV
1 : 2
Eemdijk
23 May
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 1
Eemdijk
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Excelsior 31

(Away)
15 Aug
Excelsior 31
4 : 0
Eemdijk
23 May
Urk
1 : 2
Excelsior 31
16 May
Excelsior 31
3 : 1
Staphorst
09 May
TEC
1 : 1
Excelsior 31
25 Apr
Excelsior 31
0 : 1
Harkemase Boys
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)