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Stadium Background

Eemdijk vs Sportlust - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Eemdijk host Sportlust in the Derde Divisie. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Eemdijk have averaged 1.86 scored and 2.17 conceded recently, against Sportlust's 1.52 scored and 1.52 conceded. Head-to-head, Eemdijk have won 1 to Sportlust's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 4:2. xG projections (1.56 - 2.25) back Sportlust to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Eemdijk
20%
Draws
40%
Sportlust
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Eemdijk haven't matched Sportlust's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Eemdijk Clean Sheet 10%
Sportlust Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eemdijk Sportlust
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.86 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs Eemdijk
4:2
Aug 16, 2025 Derde Divisie
Eemdijk vs Sportlust
1:2
Jan 11, 2025 Derde Divisie
Eemdijk vs Sportlust
4:4
Aug 17, 2024 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs Eemdijk
0:0
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Eemdijk vs Sportlust
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eemdijk 29 / 100
Sportlust 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eemdijk Sportlust

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eemdijk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eemdijk found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Sportlust let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Eemdijk stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eemdijk VS Sportlust
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Eemdijk

(Home)
17 Oct
Eemdijk
2 : 0
USV Hercules
10 Oct
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 2
Eemdijk
26 Sept
TEC
7 : 2
Eemdijk
22 Sept
Eemdijk
2 : 1
Roosendaal
19 Sept
Eemdijk
0 : 4
Sparta Nijkerk
Page 1 of 6

Sportlust

(Away)
17 Oct
Sportlust
2 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
10 Oct
USV Hercules
0 : 0
Sportlust
03 Oct
Sportlust
0 : 3
Excelsior 31
26 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 2
Sportlust
22 Sept
Sportlust
0 : 2
Excelsior Maassluis
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACV Assen 10 7 2 1 26:10 23
2 VV Scherpenzeel 10 7 2 1 18:10 23
3 Harkemase Boys 10 7 2 1 20:14 23
4 Excelsior 31 10 7 1 2 28:9 22
5 Genemuiden 10 7 0 3 22:15 21
6 TEC 10 6 2 2 29:17 20
7 Sportlust 10 5 4 1 18:14 19
8 Purmersteijn 10 5 3 2 19:12 18
9 Sparta Nijkerk 10 4 2 4 22:21 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 10 4 1 5 24:23 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
12 USV Hercules 10 3 1 6 12:22 10
13 Staphorst 10 2 3 5 16:21 9
14 Eemdijk 9 2 1 6 13:28 7
15 DVS '33 Ermelo 10 1 3 6 13:19 6
16 VV DOVO 10 1 2 7 12:25 5
17 HVV Hollandia 9 1 1 7 16:27 4
18 SVZW Wierden 10 0 1 9 9:28 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 10 8 1 1 22:2 25
2 Lisse 10 8 1 1 22:8 25
3 Excelsior Maassluis 10 7 2 1 21:7 23
4 Rijnvogels 10 6 2 2 25:12 20
5 RKSV UDI 19 10 6 2 2 20:9 20
6 Dongen 10 5 1 4 24:21 16
7 VV Zwaluwen 10 5 1 4 11:14 16
8 SV Poortugaal 10 5 0 5 12:14 15
9 GOES 10 4 2 4 19:25 14
10 Gemert 10 3 4 3 14:17 13
11 Blauw Geel 10 3 3 4 14:14 12
12 Roosendaal 10 3 1 6 18:23 10
13 TOGB 10 2 3 5 16:24 9
14 Groene Ster 10 2 3 5 14:24 9
15 UNA 10 1 5 4 12:16 8
16 VVSB 10 2 2 6 13:21 8
17 Achilles Veen 10 2 0 8 8:22 6
18 EVV 10 0 3 7 11:23 3
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)