Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Eemdijk vs TEC

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark De Vinken, Spakenburg
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AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between Eemdijk and TEC finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eemdijk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Eemdijk
15%
Draws
42%
TEC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eemdijk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • TEC have managed 1.43 goals a game lately — Eemdijk are scoring more at 1.75.
  • TEC are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Eemdijk have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Eemdijk Clean Sheet 15%
TEC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eemdijk TEC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Derde Divisie
Eemdijk vs TEC
3:1
Oct 18, 2025 Derde Divisie
TEC vs Eemdijk
0:2
Mar 8, 2025 Derde Divisie
TEC vs Eemdijk
6:1
Oct 5, 2024 Derde Divisie
Eemdijk vs TEC
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eemdijk 27 / 100
TEC 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eemdijk TEC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TEC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Eemdijk scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: TEC conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

TEC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eemdijk VS TEC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Eemdijk

(Home)
29 Aug
Genemuiden
3 : 1
Eemdijk
22 Aug
Eemdijk
4 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
15 Aug
Excelsior 31
4 : 0
Eemdijk
08 Aug
Eemdijk
2 : 1
VV Berkum
01 Aug
Eemdijk
1 : 3
VV DOVO
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TEC

(Away)
29 Aug
TEC
1 : 2
Sportlust
22 Aug
TEC
3 : 1
Sparta Nijkerk
15 Aug
ACV Assen
1 : 0
TEC
07 Jun
TEC
3 : 0
NEO
03 Jun
NEO
1 : 0
TEC
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)