Sport Picks

Stadium Background

EF Alhama vs La Union CF

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016 game between EF Alhama and La Union CF finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward La Union CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
EF Alhama
15%
Draws
49%
La Union CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: La Union CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • La Union CF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives EF Alhama a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
EF Alhama Clean Sheet 20%
La Union CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EF Alhama La Union CF
Matches Played 34 36
Wins 6 15
Draws 12 8
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.24 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
EF Alhama vs La Union CF
0:3
Nov 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
La Union CF vs EF Alhama
2:2
Feb 22, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
EF Alhama vs La Union CF
3:0
Oct 12, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
La Union CF vs EF Alhama
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EF Alhama 40 / 100
La Union CF 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EF Alhama La Union CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EF Alhama Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: EF Alhama scored in 71% of their last 34 outings.

La Union CF let in goals in 69% of their last 36 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Away concern: La Union CF has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS La Union CF
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

EF Alhama

(Home)
12 May
EF Alhama
1 : 3
Deportiva Minera
07 May
EDMF Churra
3 : 2
EF Alhama
01 May
EF Alhama
2 : 4
Ciudad de Murcia
24 Apr
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
3 : 1
EF Alhama
16 Apr
EF Alhama
5 : 3
Huercal-Overa CF
Page 1 of 7

La Union CF

(Away)
14 May
La Union CF
0 : 1
Deportiva Minera
07 May
Huercal-Overa CF
3 : 0
La Union CF
30 Apr
La Union CF
2 : 2
EDMF Churra
23 Apr
Lorca Deportiva
4 : 0
La Union CF
13 Apr
La Union CF
2 : 1
Ciudad Cieza
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lorca Deportiva 34 24 6 4 64:16 78
2 Aguilas FC 34 24 5 5 62:29 77
3 E.G. El Palmar 34 20 6 8 71:30 66
4 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 34 19 6 9 58:39 63
5 Yeclano 34 18 8 8 52:27 62
6 La Union CF 34 16 11 7 51:38 59
7 Huercal-Overa CF 34 14 8 12 42:41 50
8 Real Murcia B 34 15 4 15 45:39 49
9 Deportiva Minera 34 13 7 14 56:61 46
10 Muleno CF 34 13 6 15 40:48 45
11 Estudiantes de Murcia CF 34 12 5 17 50:42 41
12 EDMF Churra 34 12 5 17 37:45 41
13 Ciudad de Murcia 34 11 6 17 45:56 39
14 CA Pulpileno 34 8 11 15 33:43 35
15 Pinatar 34 8 7 19 41:59 31
16 Plus Ultra 34 7 10 17 35:55 31
17 EF Alhama 34 6 8 20 39:69 26
18 Caravaca 34 3 7 24 29:113 16
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)