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E.G. El Palmar vs Minerva

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
E.G. El Palmar Logo

E.G. El Palmar

0 - 1
FT
Minerva Logo

Minerva

Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Cortes F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Minerva in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Minerva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
E.G. El Palmar
30%
Draws
62%
Minerva
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Minerva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Minerva lately — more wins on the board than E.G. El Palmar.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Minerva taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
E.G. El Palmar Clean Sheet 16%
Minerva Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric E.G. El Palmar Minerva
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.8 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Minerva vs E.G. El Palmar
3:2
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
E.G. El Palmar vs Minerva
0:1
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
E.G. El Palmar vs Minerva
3:4
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Minerva vs E.G. El Palmar
0:1
Mar 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Minerva vs E.G. El Palmar
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

E.G. El Palmar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Minerva Compare

Top Goalscorer Cortes F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

E.G. El Palmar 10 / 100
Minerva 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
E.G. El Palmar Minerva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Minerva Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

E.G. El Palmar scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Minerva has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: E.G. El Palmar stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

E.G. El Palmar VS Minerva
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

E.G. El Palmar

(Home)
10 May
Minerva
3 : 2
E.G. El Palmar
03 May
E.G. El Palmar
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
25 Apr
Aguilas FC B
2 : 1
E.G. El Palmar
19 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
0 : 4
UCAM Murcia B
12 Apr
Mazarron FC
4 : 1
E.G. El Palmar
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Minerva

(Away)
27 Sept
Minerva
1 : 1
Club Olimpico de Totana
20 Sept
San Javier
1 : 0
Minerva
13 Sept
Minerva
0 : 0
FC Cartagena SAD B
06 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1
Minerva
10 May
Minerva
3 : 2
E.G. El Palmar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)