Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13

E.G. El Palmar

1 - 3

Santa Cruz

Our Tip

Match Events

58'

Moreno Sabater A.

83'

Bertomeu F.

89'

Manzanares D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 game between E.G. El Palmar and Santa Cruz finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Cruz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

E.G. El Palmar

22%

Draws

60%

Santa Cruz

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Santa Cruz come out ahead of E.G. El Palmar on wins alone.
60% — that's where the model lands on Santa Cruz taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%

E.G. El Palmar Clean Sheet 17%

Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	E.G. El Palmar	Santa Cruz
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	11
Draws	7	5
Losses	15	14
Goals Scored	0.88	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.88	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

E.G. El Palmar vs Santa Cruz

Possession: 43% - 46% Cards: 3 - 1

1:3

Nov 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Santa Cruz vs E.G. El Palmar

Possession: 58% - 52% Cards: 3 - 0

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

E.G. El Palmar Compare

Top Goalscorer Dieguito

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno Sabater A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Bertomeu F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

E.G. El Palmar 20 / 100

Santa Cruz 68 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

E.G. El Palmar Santa Cruz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Santa Cruz let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Santa Cruz's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

E.G. El Palmar found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

E.G. El Palmar VS Santa Cruz

0.88 Goals Scored 0.88

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38

63% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ciudad Cieza	34	21	10	3	65:21	73
2	Real Murcia B	34	17	8	9	59:44	59
3	Molinense	34	17	8	9	46:34	59
4	Club Olimpico de Totana	34	15	13	6	44:27	58
5	Mazarron CF	34	14	14	6	50:33	56
6	UCAM Murcia B	34	13	16	5	55:37	55
7	Aguilas FC B	34	14	10	10	47:42	52
8	CA Pulpileno	34	13	11	10	30:29	50
9	Santa Cruz	34	14	6	14	35:37	48
10	Minerva	34	11	11	12	28:39	44
11	Bala Azul	34	8	16	10	39:36	40
12	FC Cartagena SAD B	34	9	11	14	40:39	38
13	Deportivo Maritimo	34	9	9	16	38:46	36
14	E.G. El Palmar	34	8	8	18	27:48	32
15	Santomera	34	8	8	18	38:64	32
16	Caravaca	34	6	13	15	33:44	31
17	Muleno CF	34	6	13	15	33:58	31
18	Yeclano B	34	6	9	19	25:54	27