Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Egedal vs Holbaek

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division East 2013/2014
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Helsted M. K.
22' Event
Helsted M. K.
32' Event
Suhr R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 2nd Division East 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Egedal
30%
Draws
43%
Holbaek
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Holbaek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Holbaek lately — more wins on the board than Egedal.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Holbaek taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Holbaek here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Egedal Clean Sheet 10%
Holbaek Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Egedal Holbaek
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 7 24
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.3 2.44
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 2.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2014 2nd Division East
Egedal vs Holbaek
2:2
Sep 15, 2013 2nd Division East
Holbaek vs Egedal
4:0
Jun 5, 2012 2nd Division East
Holbaek vs Egedal
3:1
Oct 1, 2011 2nd Division East
Egedal vs Holbaek
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Egedal Compare

Top Goalscorer Suhr R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Drescher M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Holbaek Compare

Top Goalscorer Helsted M. K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.86
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Egedal 14 / 100
Holbaek 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Egedal Holbaek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holbaek Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Attacking prowess: Egedal scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Holbaek conceded in 78% of 36 recent games.

Solid form: Egedal remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Holbaek
0 Goals Scored 3
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Egedal

(Home)
29 Oct
Egedal
2 : 3
Varde
24 Sept
Egedal
2 : 1
Nordsjaelland
12 Aug
Egedal
3 : 2
Birkerod
21 Jun
Egedal
2 : 2
Holbaek
14 Jun
BK Frem
1 : 1
Egedal
Page 1 of 6

Holbaek

(Away)
05 Sept
Ishoj IF
0 : 4
Holbaek
29 Aug
Holbaek
3 : 2
Naesby
21 Aug
Bronshoj
1 : 4
Holbaek
15 Aug
Holbaek
2 : 1
Sundby
08 Aug
Holstebro
2 : 2
Holbaek
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Roskilde 30 26 2 2 88:22 80
2 Naestved IF 30 18 7 5 69:34 61
3 Fremad Amager 30 15 6 9 76:55 51
4 Helsingor 30 15 5 10 59:35 50
5 B 1908 30 15 5 10 46:36 50
6 Holbaek 30 12 9 9 66:58 45
7 Sollerod-Ved. 30 10 11 9 40:42 41
8 BK Frem 30 9 11 10 46:44 38
9 Nykobing 30 11 5 14 49:59 38
10 Boldklubben 1893 30 10 6 14 42:43 36
11 Gentofte-Vangede 30 9 8 13 42:63 35
12 Svebolle 30 8 8 14 32:46 32
13 Avarta 30 8 7 15 50:67 31
14 Vanlose 30 8 5 17 34:67 29
15 Birkerod 30 8 4 18 39:69 28
16 Egedal 30 4 9 17 31:69 21
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