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Egedal vs Roskilde

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division East 2013/2014
Egedal Logo

Egedal

0 - 5
FT
Roskilde Logo

Roskilde

Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Larsen R.
27' Event
Nielsen E.
71' Event
Nielsen E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Roskilde in this 2nd Division East 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Roskilde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Egedal
35%
Draws
38%
Roskilde
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Roskilde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Egedal haven't matched Roskilde's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Roskilde's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular 2nd Division East 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Egedal Clean Sheet 19%
Roskilde Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Egedal Roskilde
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 12
Draws 8 10
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.3 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2014 2nd Division East
Egedal vs Roskilde
0:5
Oct 20, 2013 2nd Division East
Roskilde vs Egedal
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Egedal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Roskilde Compare

Top Goalscorer Nielsen E.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Larsen R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Egedal 28 / 100
Roskilde 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Egedal Roskilde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Roskilde Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Roskilde conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Egedal's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Egedal remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Roskilde
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Egedal

(Home)
29 Oct
Egedal
2 : 3
Varde
24 Sept
Egedal
2 : 1
Nordsjaelland
12 Aug
Egedal
3 : 2
Birkerod
21 Jun
Egedal
2 : 2
Holbaek
14 Jun
BK Frem
1 : 1
Egedal
Page 1 of 6

Roskilde

(Away)
18 Sept
Roskilde
5 : 1
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000
13 Sept
Brabrand
1 : 1
Roskilde
09 Sept
BK Frem
1 : 2
Roskilde
05 Sept
Roskilde
1 : 0
VSK Aarhus
28 Aug
Nykobing
2 : 2
Roskilde
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Roskilde 30 26 2 2 88:22 80
2 Naestved IF 30 18 7 5 69:34 61
3 Fremad Amager 30 15 6 9 76:55 51
4 Helsingor 30 15 5 10 59:35 50
5 B 1908 30 15 5 10 46:36 50
6 Holbaek 30 12 9 9 66:58 45
7 Sollerod-Ved. 30 10 11 9 40:42 41
8 BK Frem 30 9 11 10 46:44 38
9 Nykobing 30 11 5 14 49:59 38
10 Boldklubben 1893 30 10 6 14 42:43 36
11 Gentofte-Vangede 30 9 8 13 42:63 35
12 Svebolle 30 8 8 14 32:46 32
13 Avarta 30 8 7 15 50:67 31
14 Vanlose 30 8 5 17 34:67 29
15 Birkerod 30 8 4 18 39:69 28
16 Egedal 30 4 9 17 31:69 21
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