Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Egersund vs Moss

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen XL-BYGG Sorvest Arena, Egersund
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Kapskarmo O.
Assist: Hovland P.
33' Event
Kapskarmo O.
Assist: Vatne S.
50'
Strande K.

AI Match Summary

Egersund in this OBOS-ligaen matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Egersund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Egersund
30%
Draws
35%
Moss
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Egersund have won more games recently than Moss.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Egersund have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Egersund Clean Sheet 12%
Moss Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Egersund Moss
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.77 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Egersund vs Moss
3:0
Oct 22, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Egersund vs Moss
2:0
Jun 28, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Moss vs Egersund
2:4
Aug 26, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Egersund vs Moss
3:2
Apr 27, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Moss vs Egersund
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Egersund Compare

Top Goalscorer Kapskarmo O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vatne S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Moss Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Egersund 35 / 100
Moss 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Egersund Moss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moss Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Egersund found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Moss conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Egersund has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Egersund VS Moss
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Egersund

(Home)
20 Sept
Odds BK
5 : 1
Egersund
16 Sept
Jerv
1 : 2
Egersund
13 Sept
Egersund
1 : 1
Kongsvinger
06 Sept
Lyn
1 : 1
Egersund
30 Aug
Egersund
2 : 2
Asane
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Moss

(Away)
23 Sept
Grorud
2 : 1
Moss
20 Sept
Sandnes Ulf
1 : 2
Moss
13 Sept
Moss
1 : 4
Haugesund
05 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 3
Moss
30 Aug
Moss
1 : 2
Strommen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haugesund 23 17 1 5 72:39 52
2 Kongsvinger 23 15 5 3 68:35 50
3 Stromsgodset 23 14 6 3 60:31 48
4 Stabaek 23 14 3 6 57:29 45
5 Odds BK 23 10 6 7 47:36 36
6 Bryne 23 11 2 10 32:31 35
7 Hodd 23 10 4 9 38:45 34
8 Egersund 23 8 5 10 36:44 29
9 Ranheim 23 8 4 11 56:58 28
10 Lyn 23 8 4 11 39:48 28
11 Moss 23 7 4 12 38:52 25
12 Strommen 23 7 4 12 35:52 25
13 Sandnes Ulf 23 7 3 13 32:42 24
14 Sogndal 23 6 5 12 38:53 23
15 Asane 23 5 5 13 34:52 19
16 Raufoss 23 6 1 16 26:61 19
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)